A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect. Magnus, J. R. & Peresetsky, A. A. Frontiers in Psychology, mar, 2022.
A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
An explanation of the Dunning–Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the (random) boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.
@article{Magnus2022,
abstract = {An explanation of the Dunning–Kruger effect is provided which does not require any psychological explanation, because it is derived as a statistical artifact. This is achieved by specifying a simple statistical model which explicitly takes the (random) boundary constraints into account. The model fits the data almost perfectly.},
author = {Magnus, Jan R. and Peresetsky, Anatoly A.},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180},
issn = {1664-1078},
journal = {Frontiers in Psychology},
keywords = {Dunning–Kruger effect,boundary conditions,conditional expectation,tobit model,underestimation and overestimation},
month = {mar},
title = {{A Statistical Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect}},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.840180/full},
volume = {13},
year = {2022}
}

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