@article{
 title = {Effects of Climate Variable on Aus Rice Production at Selected Districts of Bangladesh},
 type = {article},
 year = {2018},
 keywords = {Climate Variables,Maximum Temperature,Regression Analysis,SARIMA,and Forecasting},
 pages = {87-102},
 volume = {41},
 id = {913db482-b007-3f75-b6de-dfdff6d4d69a},
 created = {2020-11-12T21:46:11.998Z},
 file_attached = {true},
 profile_id = {3d6b17c2-7de8-3a82-bf4f-ddb0e3081e5f},
 last_modified = {2022-09-22T12:27:02.346Z},
 read = {false},
 starred = {false},
 authored = {true},
 confirmed = {true},
 hidden = {false},
 private_publication = {false},
 abstract = {The production of rice is sensitive to the climatic variables. So, any changes in climate variables have harmful effects on rice production. Keeping the above view in mind, this study is undertaken to investigate the impacts of climate change on Aus rice production at selected districts of Bangladesh and modeling the climate variable to predict future situations. In this study, multiple regressions and correlation analysis were carried out and observed that the maximum temperature has a significantly negative effect on Aus rice production at Dhaka, Jessore and Kushtia districts of Bangladesh. Moreover, the behavior of the time series of maximum temperature is observed and it can be seen that the series is stationary with some seasonal variation. Finally, the authors fit different order of the SARIMA model and forecast the maximurn temperature of selected districts using the fitted model. It is found that the forecasted value has a similar pattern to the original data series and has an increasing tendency which is harmful for Aus rice production in selected districts of Bangladesh.},
 bibtype = {article},
 author = {Marjan, Nahyarul and Hossain, Md Moyazzem},
 journal = {Jahangirnagar University Journal of Science},
 number = {1}
}

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