Getting it (approximately) right (and center and left!): reliability and uncertainty estimates for the comparative manifesto data. McDonald, M. D. & Budge, I. Electoral Studies. Paper doi abstract bibtex The extensive estimates of party policy preferences produced by the CMP (Comparative Manifesto Project, now MARPOR) have proved robust and valid over a wide variety of research applications. But all estimates carry some error. We demonstrate that one of the two existing assessments of non-systematic error in the CMP data strongly overstates their reliability while the other understates it, leaving much potential for mis-estimation. We develop a new method which extends classical test theory and directly estimates overall data reliability; reliabilities and standard errors of measurement for each party system; and standard errors of measurement for each data-point. These should facilitate use of the CMP policy scores which are usually the only ones available for extended party and policy research.
@article{ mcdonald_getting_????,
title = {Getting it (approximately) right (and center and left!): reliability and uncertainty estimates for the comparative manifesto data},
issn = {0261-3794},
shorttitle = {Getting it (approximately) right (and center and left!)},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0261379414000572},
doi = {10.1016/j.electstud.2014.04.017},
abstract = {The extensive estimates of party policy preferences produced by the CMP (Comparative Manifesto Project, now MARPOR) have proved robust and valid over a wide variety of research applications. But all estimates carry some error. We demonstrate that one of the two existing assessments of non-systematic error in the CMP data strongly overstates their reliability while the other understates it, leaving much potential for mis-estimation. We develop a new method which extends classical test theory and directly estimates overall data reliability; reliabilities and standard errors of measurement for each party system; and standard errors of measurement for each data-point. These should facilitate use of the CMP policy scores which are usually the only ones available for extended party and policy research.},
urldate = {2014-05-19TZ},
journal = {Electoral Studies},
author = {McDonald, Michael D. and Budge, Ian}
}
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