Assessing the Potential Extent of Damage to Inland Lakes in Eastern Canada due to Acidic Deposition. IV. Uncertainty Analysis of a Regional Model. Minns, C., K., Moore, J., E., Schindler, D., W., & Jones, M., L. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 48(4):599-606, 1990.
Assessing the Potential Extent of Damage to Inland Lakes in Eastern Canada due to Acidic Deposition. IV. Uncertainty Analysis of a Regional Model [pdf]Paper  abstract   bibtex   
Considers the significance of uncertainty in inputs to a regional surface water acidification model. Monte Carlo methods are used to propagate input uncertainty through to measures of uncertainty in the model's overall predictions. We consider four key inputs which represent primary areas of input uncertainty: acidic sulphate deposition (Da), original lake sulphate concentrations [SO4]0), a watershed neutralization parameter (Fw), and an in-lake neutralization parameter (Ss). Uncertainty in Da and [SO4]0 consistently overwhelms the effect of uncertainty in Fw and Ss on overall model uncertainty. The relative importance of Da decreases as one moves east from the high-deposition regions of central Ontario. -from Authors
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 title = {Assessing the Potential Extent of Damage to Inland Lakes in Eastern Canada due to Acidic Deposition. IV. Uncertainty Analysis of a Regional Model},
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 year = {1990},
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 abstract = {Considers the significance of uncertainty in inputs to a regional surface water acidification model. Monte Carlo methods are used to propagate input uncertainty through to measures of uncertainty in the model's overall predictions. We consider four key inputs which represent primary areas of input uncertainty: acidic sulphate deposition (Da), original lake sulphate concentrations [SO4]0), a watershed neutralization parameter (Fw), and an in-lake neutralization parameter (Ss). Uncertainty in Da and [SO4]0 consistently overwhelms the effect of uncertainty in Fw and Ss on overall model uncertainty. The relative importance of Da decreases as one moves east from the high-deposition regions of central Ontario. -from Authors},
 bibtype = {article},
 author = {Minns, C. K. and Moore, J. E. and Schindler, D. W. and Jones, M. L.},
 journal = {Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences},
 number = {4}
}
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