Parallels, prescience and the past: Analogical reasoning and contemporary. Mumford, A. International Politics, 52(1):1--19, January, 2015.
Parallels, prescience and the past: Analogical reasoning and contemporary [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
Analogical reasoning has held a perpetual appeal to policymakers who have often drafted in historical metaphor as a mode of informing decision making. However, this article contends that since the beginning of the ‘War on Terror’, we have arguably seen the rise of a more potent form of analogy, namely ones that are selected because they fulfil an ideological function. Analogical reasoning as a tool of rational decision making has increasingly become replaced by analogical reasoning as a tool of trenchant ideologically informed policy justification. This article addresses three key areas that map out the importance of analogical reasoning to an understanding of developments in contemporary international politics: the relationship between history and politics, in intellectual and policy terms; a critical assessment of the appeal that analogical reasoning holds for policymakers; and the development of a rationale for a more effective use of history in international public policy making.
@article{mumford_parallels_2015,
	title = {Parallels, prescience and the past: {Analogical} reasoning and contemporary},
	volume = {52},
	issn = {1384-5748},
	shorttitle = {Parallels, prescience and the past},
	url = {http://www.palgrave-journals.com/ip/journal/v52/n1/full/ip201440a.html},
	doi = {10.1057/ip.2014.40},
	abstract = {Analogical reasoning has held a perpetual appeal to policymakers who have often drafted in historical metaphor as a mode of informing decision making. However, this article contends that since the beginning of the ‘War on Terror’, we have arguably seen the rise of a more potent form of analogy, namely ones that are selected because they fulfil an ideological function. Analogical reasoning as a tool of rational decision making has increasingly become replaced by analogical reasoning as a tool of trenchant ideologically informed policy justification. This article addresses three key areas that map out the importance of analogical reasoning to an understanding of developments in contemporary international politics: the relationship between history and politics, in intellectual and policy terms; a critical assessment of the appeal that analogical reasoning holds for policymakers; and the development of a rationale for a more effective use of history in international public policy making.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2015-01-02},
	journal = {International Politics},
	author = {Mumford, Andrew},
	month = jan,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {analogical reasoning, History, ideology, Policy making, Politics, war on terror},
	pages = {1--19},
	file = {Full Text PDF:files/50480/Mumford - 2015 - Parallels, prescience and the past Analogical rea.pdf:application/pdf;Full Text PDF:files/50483/Mumford - 2015 - Parallels, prescience and the past Analogical rea.pdf:application/pdf;Snapshot:files/50481/ip201440a.html:text/html;Snapshot:files/50484/ip201440a.html:text/html}
}
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