Defining limits: Energy constrained economic growth. Nel, W. P. & van Zyl, G. Applied Energy, 87(1):168–177, January, 2010.
Defining limits: Energy constrained economic growth [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
The historical and deductive merits for an explicit energy-based economic growth formulation are presented. Parameters in the formulation are successfully calibrated to empirical data and a range of forecasts is made for global economic growth potential to 2050, based on a plausible case of energy availability. The results demonstrate the vital importance of energy security and lead to the conclusion that the current socio-economic paradigm may not be sustainable.
@article{nel_defining_2010,
	title = {Defining limits: {Energy} constrained economic growth},
	volume = {87},
	issn = {03062619},
	shorttitle = {Defining limits},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0306261909002347},
	doi = {10.1016/j.apenergy.2009.06.003},
	abstract = {The historical and deductive merits for an explicit energy-based economic growth formulation are presented. Parameters in the formulation are successfully calibrated to empirical data and a range of forecasts is made for global economic growth potential to 2050, based on a plausible case of energy availability. The results demonstrate the vital importance of energy security and lead to the conclusion that the current socio-economic paradigm may not be sustainable.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2014-07-30},
	journal = {Applied Energy},
	author = {Nel, Willem P. and van Zyl, Gerhardus},
	month = jan,
	year = {2010},
	keywords = {collapse, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {168--177},
	file = {Nel and van Zyl - 2010 - Defining limits Energy constrained economic growt.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\RAZJG4ZU\\Nel and van Zyl - 2010 - Defining limits Energy constrained economic growt.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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