A potential decline in life expectancy in the United States in the 21st century. Olshansky, S. J., Passaro, D. J., Hershow, R. C., Layden, J., Carnes, B. A., Brody, J., Hayflick, L., Butler, R. N., Allison, D. B., & Ludwig, D. S. The New England Journal of Medicine, 352(11):1138–1145, March, 2005. doi abstract bibtex Forecasts of life expectancy are an important component of public policy that influence age-based entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. Although the Social Security Administration recently raised its estimates of how long Americans are going to live in the 21st century, current trends in obesity in the United States suggest that these estimates may not be accurate. From our analysis of the effect of obesity on longevity, we conclude that the steady rise in life expectancy during the past two centuries may soon come to an end.
@article{olshansky2005,
title = {A potential decline in life expectancy in the {United} {States} in the 21st century},
volume = {352},
issn = {1533-4406},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMsr043743},
abstract = {Forecasts of life expectancy are an important component of public policy that influence age-based entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. Although the Social Security Administration recently raised its estimates of how long Americans are going to live in the 21st century, current trends in obesity in the United States suggest that these estimates may not be accurate. From our analysis of the effect of obesity on longevity, we conclude that the steady rise in life expectancy during the past two centuries may soon come to an end.},
language = {eng},
number = {11},
journal = {The New England Journal of Medicine},
author = {Olshansky, S. Jay and Passaro, Douglas J. and Hershow, Ronald C. and Layden, Jennifer and Carnes, Bruce A. and Brody, Jacob and Hayflick, Leonard and Butler, Robert N. and Allison, David B. and Ludwig, David S.},
month = mar,
year = {2005},
pmid = {15784668},
keywords = {Humans, Male, Female, Aged, United States, Obesity, Forecasting, Risk Factors, Diabetes Complications, Communicable Diseases, Disease Outbreaks, Health Care Costs, Life Expectancy, Longevity},
pages = {1138--1145},
file = {Full Text:/Users/lcneuro/Zotero/storage/67VXF2ZY/Olshansky et al. - 2005 - A potential decline in life expectancy in the Unit.pdf:application/pdf},
}
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