Sussex 11. Population forecasting. Page, W. Futures, 5(2):179–194, April, 1973. 00010Paper doi abstract bibtex Forecasts of future trends in population are as central to the contemporary pessimism about the future as they were to that of certain classical economists at the beginning of the 19th century. Here earlier forecasts are examined to see how the methodology has changed and if past performance justifies the placing of much confidence in contemporary forecasts. The emphasis is upon British and American experience and upon total population sizes (rather than age or sex breakdowns). A concluding section raises the question of today's world population situation and the context of The Limits to Growth population considerations.
@article{page_sussex_1973-2,
title = {Sussex 11. {Population} forecasting},
volume = {5},
issn = {0016-3287},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0016328773900827},
doi = {10.1016/0016-3287(73)90082-7},
abstract = {Forecasts of future trends in population are as central to the contemporary pessimism about the future as they were to that of certain classical economists at the beginning of the 19th century. Here earlier forecasts are examined to see how the methodology has changed and if past performance justifies the placing of much confidence in contemporary forecasts. The emphasis is upon British and American experience and upon total population sizes (rather than age or sex breakdowns). A concluding section raises the question of today's world population situation and the context of The Limits to Growth population considerations.},
number = {2},
urldate = {2016-12-08},
journal = {Futures},
author = {Page, William},
month = apr,
year = {1973},
note = {00010},
keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
pages = {179--194},
file = {Page - 1973 - Sussex 11. Population forecasting.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\SJDZMVN7\\Page - 1973 - Sussex 11. Population forecasting.pdf:application/pdf}
}
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