Validating management simulation models and implications for communicating results to stakeholders. Pastoors, M. A., Poos, J. J., Kraak, S. B. M., & Machiels, M. A. M. ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE, 64(4):818-824, OXFORD UNIV PRESS, GREAT CLARENDON ST, OXFORD OX2 6DP, ENGLAND, MAY, 2007. ICES Symposium on Fisheries Management Strategies, Galway, IRELAND, JUN 27-30, 2006
doi  abstract   bibtex   
Simulations of management plans generally aim to demonstrate the robustness of the plans to assumptions about population dynamics and fleet dynamics. Such modelling is characterized by specification of an operating model (OM) representing the underlying truth and a management procedure that mimics the process of acquiring knowledge, formulating management decisions, and implementing those decisions. We employ such a model to evaluate a management plan for North Sea flatfish proposed by the North Sea Regional Advisory Council in May 2005. Focus is on the construction and conditioning of OMs, key requirements for such simulations. We describe the process of setting up and validating OMs along with its effects on the ability to communicate the results to the stakeholders. We conclude that there is tension between the level of detail required by stakeholders and the level of detail that can be provided. In communicating the results of simulations, it is necessary to make very clear how OMs depend on past perceptions of stock dynamics.
@article{ ISI:000247894900039,
Author = {Pastoors, Martin A. and Poos, Jan Jaap and Kraak, Sarah B. M. and
   Machiels, Marcel A. M.},
Title = {{Validating management simulation models and implications for
   communicating results to stakeholders}},
Journal = {{ICES JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE}},
Year = {{2007}},
Volume = {{64}},
Number = {{4}},
Pages = {{818-824}},
Month = {{MAY}},
Note = {{ICES Symposium on Fisheries Management Strategies, Galway, IRELAND, JUN
   27-30, 2006}},
Organization = {{Marine Inst Ireland; Dept Commun; Marine \& Nat Resources; Dept
   Fisheries \& Oceans; ICES}},
Abstract = {{Simulations of management plans generally aim to demonstrate the
   robustness of the plans to assumptions about population dynamics and
   fleet dynamics. Such modelling is characterized by specification of an
   operating model (OM) representing the underlying truth and a management
   procedure that mimics the process of acquiring knowledge, formulating
   management decisions, and implementing those decisions. We employ such a
   model to evaluate a management plan for North Sea flatfish proposed by
   the North Sea Regional Advisory Council in May 2005. Focus is on the
   construction and conditioning of OMs, key requirements for such
   simulations. We describe the process of setting up and validating OMs
   along with its effects on the ability to communicate the results to the
   stakeholders. We conclude that there is tension between the level of
   detail required by stakeholders and the level of detail that can be
   provided. In communicating the results of simulations, it is necessary
   to make very clear how OMs depend on past perceptions of stock dynamics.}},
Publisher = {{OXFORD UNIV PRESS}},
Address = {{GREAT CLARENDON ST, OXFORD OX2 6DP, ENGLAND}},
Type = {{Article; Proceedings Paper}},
Language = {{English}},
Affiliation = {{Pastoors, MA (Reprint Author), Wageningen IMARES, POB 68, NL-1970 AB Ijmuiden, Netherlands.
   Wageningen IMARES, NL-1970 AB Ijmuiden, Netherlands.}},
DOI = {{10.1093/icesjms/fsm051}},
ISSN = {{1054-3139}},
Keywords = {{communication; flatfish; management strategy evaluation; North Sea;
   operating model; simulation; stakeholders}},
Keywords-Plus = {{NORTH-SEA PLAICE; PLEURONECTES-PLATESSA L.; FISHERY; ADVICE; STOCKS}},
Research-Areas = {{Fisheries; Marine \& Freshwater Biology; Oceanography}},
Web-of-Science-Categories  = {{Fisheries; Marine \& Freshwater Biology; Oceanography}},
Author-Email = {{martin.pastoors@wur.nl}},
ResearcherID-Numbers = {{Poos, Jan Jaap/B-9940-2009}},
ORCID-Numbers = {{Poos, Jan Jaap/0000-0002-8507-5751}},
Number-of-Cited-References = {{25}},
Times-Cited = {{14}},
Usage-Count-Last-180-days = {{0}},
Usage-Count-Since-2013 = {{6}},
Journal-ISO = {{ICES J. Mar. Sci.}},
Doc-Delivery-Number = {{188BZ}},
Unique-ID = {{ISI:000247894900039}},
OA = {{No}},
DA = {{2017-08-17}},
}

Downloads: 0