The probabability of induction. Peirce, C. Popular Science Monthly, 12:705--718., 1878.
The probabability of induction [link]Paper  bibtex   
@article{Peirce1878,
author = {Peirce, C.S.},
journal = {Popular Science Monthly},
pages = {705--718.},
title = {{The probabability of induction}},
url = {http://www.archive.org/stream/popscimonthly12yoummiss\#page/714/mode/2up},
volume = {12},
year = {1878}
}

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