Comparison of Analysis Methods for the Calculation of Degradation Rates of Different Photovoltaic Technologies. Phinikarides, A., Makrides, G., & Georghiou, G. E In 28th EU-PVSEC, pages 3973–3976, Paris, France, 2013.
doi  abstract   bibtex   
The degradation rates of crystalline silicon (c-Si) and thin-film photovoltaic (PV) systems of different manufacturers and different technologies were calculated and compared for the systems' first five years of outdoors exposure, by applying a host of different analysis methods, in order to quantify the differences between each method. These include linear regression using linear least squares (LLS), classical seasonal decomposition (CSD) and seasonal-trend decomposition by Loess (STL) on daily and monthly time series of two performance metrics, performance ratio (PR) and PR with temperature correction (PR-TC). The comparison of the resulting degradation rates for each PV group (c-Si and thin-film) showed that the monthly PR-TC-STL method provided the lowest standard deviation and a mean degradation rate of 1.12 \%\/year for the c-Si PV systems. On the other hand, the daily PR-TC-LLS method demonstrated the lowest standard deviation and an average degradation rate of 2.47 \%\/year for the thin-film PV systems. Linear regression using LLS produced the lowest degradation rates overall, but when temperature correction was applied, the calculated degradation rates were increased by 0.4 \%\/year. LLS also showed the lowest standard deviation for the thin-film PV systems, which was further reduced by applying temperature correction.
@inproceedings{phinikaridesComparisonAnalysisMethods2013,
  title = {Comparison of Analysis Methods for the Calculation of Degradation Rates of Different Photovoltaic Technologies},
  booktitle = {28th {{EU-PVSEC}}},
  author = {Phinikarides, Alexander and Makrides, George and Georghiou, George E},
  year = {2013},
  pages = {3973--3976},
  address = {{Paris, France}},
  doi = {10.4229/28thEUPVSEC2013-5BV.4.39},
  abstract = {The degradation rates of crystalline silicon (c-Si) and thin-film photovoltaic (PV) systems of different manufacturers and different technologies were calculated and compared for the systems' first five years of outdoors exposure, by applying a host of different analysis methods, in order to quantify the differences between each method. These include linear regression using linear least squares (LLS), classical seasonal decomposition (CSD) and seasonal-trend decomposition by Loess (STL) on daily and monthly time series of two performance metrics, performance ratio (PR) and PR with temperature correction (PR-TC). The comparison of the resulting degradation rates for each PV group (c-Si and thin-film) showed that the monthly PR-TC-STL method provided the lowest standard deviation and a mean degradation rate of 1.12 \{\%\}/year for the c-Si PV systems. On the other hand, the daily PR-TC-LLS method demonstrated the lowest standard deviation and an average degradation rate of 2.47 \{\%\}/year for the thin-film PV systems. Linear regression using LLS produced the lowest degradation rates overall, but when temperature correction was applied, the calculated degradation rates were increased by 0.4 \{\%\}/year. LLS also showed the lowest standard deviation for the thin-film PV systems, which was further reduced by applying temperature correction.},
  copyright = {All rights reserved},
  keywords = {crystalline,degradation,Grid-connected,thin film},
  file = {/home/alexis/Zotero/storage/6RNW2XKX/Phinikarides et al. - 2013 - Comparison of analysis methods for the calculation.pdf}
}

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