80 years of multispecies fisheries modelling: significant advances and continuing challenges. Pinnegar, J. K., Trenkel, V. M., & Blanchard, J. L. In Payne, A, Cotter, J, & Potter, T, editors, ADVANCES IN FISHERIES SCIENCE: 50 YEARS ON FROM BEVERTON AND HOLT, pages 325-357. BLACKWELL SCIENCE PUBL, OSNEY MEAD, OXFORD OX2 0EL, ENGLAND, 2008. doi abstract bibtex Over the past 80 years there have been many advances in the development of multispecies fisheries models, from the simple predator-prey models of Vito Volterra to the highly complex ecosystem and size-based models of today. Here, we explore whether multispecies fisheries models have provided useful insight or whether they have been guilty of ``muddying the waters''. We conclude that multispecies models have proved useful, in particular they have shown that natural predators may take of the same order of prey fish as fishing vessels, they have provided information on the long-term prognosis for stock recovery, and they have been used to evaluate precautionary reference points for fishery management. However, the course of history has not always run smoothly, and scientists have found it difficult to describe adequately the functional relationships that exist between predators and their prey. Added to this, there are infinite ways to configure complex foodweb models, so it is often very difficult to discern the main influences on model outputs. Several promising avenues for future research are described, including individual- and size-based models, stochastic multispecies models, and coupled biogeochemical and fisheries models. One of the most promising avenues might be to provide operating models for inclusion in operational management procedures.
@incollection{ ISI:000288205300016,
Author = {Pinnegar, John K. and Trenkel, Verena M. and Blanchard, Julia L.},
Editor = {{Payne, A and Cotter, J and Potter, T}},
Title = {{80 years of multispecies fisheries modelling: significant advances and
continuing challenges}},
Booktitle = {{ADVANCES IN FISHERIES SCIENCE: 50 YEARS ON FROM BEVERTON AND HOLT}},
Year = {{2008}},
Pages = {{325-357}},
Abstract = {{Over the past 80 years there have been many advances in the development
of multispecies fisheries models, from the simple predator-prey models
of Vito Volterra to the highly complex ecosystem and size-based models
of today. Here, we explore whether multispecies fisheries models have
provided useful insight or whether they have been guilty of ``muddying
the waters{''}. We conclude that multispecies models have proved useful,
in particular they have shown that natural predators may take of the
same order of prey fish as fishing vessels, they have provided
information on the long-term prognosis for stock recovery, and they have
been used to evaluate precautionary reference points for fishery
management. However, the course of history has not always run smoothly,
and scientists have found it difficult to describe adequately the
functional relationships that exist between predators and their prey.
Added to this, there are infinite ways to configure complex foodweb
models, so it is often very difficult to discern the main influences on
model outputs. Several promising avenues for future research are
described, including individual- and size-based models, stochastic
multispecies models, and coupled biogeochemical and fisheries models.
One of the most promising avenues might be to provide operating models
for inclusion in operational management procedures.}},
Publisher = {{BLACKWELL SCIENCE PUBL}},
Address = {{OSNEY MEAD, OXFORD OX2 0EL, ENGLAND}},
Type = {{Article; Book Chapter}},
Language = {{English}},
Affiliation = {{Pinnegar, JK (Reprint Author), Ctr Environm Fisheries \& Aquaculture Sci, Pakefield Rd, Lowestoft NR33 0HT, Suffolk, England.
Pinnegar, John K.; Blanchard, Julia L., Ctr Environm Fisheries \& Aquaculture Sci, Lowestoft NR33 0HT, Suffolk, England.
Trenkel, Verena M., IFREMER, Dept Ecol \& Modeles Halieut, F-44311 Nantes 3, France.}},
DOI = {{10.1002/9781444302653.ch14}},
ISBN = {{978-1-4051-7083-3}},
Keywords = {{ecosystem; modelling; multispecies; natural mortality; predator; prey}},
Keywords-Plus = {{SINGLE-SPECIES MODELS; EASTERN BERING-SEA; VIRTUAL POPULATION ANALYSIS;
DEMERSAL FISH COMMUNITIES; STOCK ASSESSMENT MODEL; INDIVIDUAL-BASED
MODEL; BIOMASS SIZE SPECTRA; COD GADUS-MORHUA; FOOD-WEB; MARINE
ECOSYSTEMS}},
Research-Areas = {{Fisheries}},
Web-of-Science-Categories = {{Fisheries}},
Author-Email = {{john.pinnegar@cefas.co.uk}},
ResearcherID-Numbers = {{Blanchard, Julia/E-4919-2010}},
ORCID-Numbers = {{Blanchard, Julia/0000-0003-0532-4824}},
Number-of-Cited-References = {{179}},
Times-Cited = {{8}},
Usage-Count-Last-180-days = {{0}},
Usage-Count-Since-2013 = {{6}},
Doc-Delivery-Number = {{BTV92}},
Unique-ID = {{ISI:000288205300016}},
OA = {{No}},
DA = {{2017-08-17}},
}
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