Carrot or stick: Impacts of alternative climate and energy policy scenarios on agriculture. Rintamäki, H., Rikkonen, P., & Tapio, P. Futures.
Carrot or stick: Impacts of alternative climate and energy policy scenarios on agriculture [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
The climate and energy strategy of the European Union presents the aims for all economic sectors to cut carbon dioxide emissions. In this paper, we studied what kind of conflicts, synergies, opportunities and control measures the climate and energy policy brings to farms in Finland. We used the Delphi method to assess possible outcomes of three scenarios based on the strength of mitigation policy. The scenarios scrutinised were 1) Baseline, 2) Tight Control and 3) Energy Plus Food. These scenarios create different adaptive needs and measures on farms. Baseline scenario follows the present and forthcoming development in agriculture and Tight Control scenario, in turn, constitutes all possible mitigation measures recently introduced in the scientific discussion. In Energy Plus Food scenario, farms increasingly produce renewable energy in addition to food and, therefore, have new opportunities to develop their businesses. The Delphi panel estimated how the farms would cope with different future developments represented by the scenarios. Based on our results, it is evident that interdisciplinary analysis in research and inter-sectoral cooperation between agricultural and energy policies are required.
@article{rintamaki_carrot_????,
	title = {Carrot or stick: {Impacts} of alternative climate and energy policy scenarios on agriculture},
	issn = {0016-3287},
	shorttitle = {Carrot or stick},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328716300581},
	doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2016.03.004},
	abstract = {The climate and energy strategy of the European Union presents the aims for all economic sectors to cut carbon dioxide emissions. In this paper, we studied what kind of conflicts, synergies, opportunities and control measures the climate and energy policy brings to farms in Finland. We used the Delphi method to assess possible outcomes of three scenarios based on the strength of mitigation policy. The scenarios scrutinised were 1) Baseline, 2) Tight Control and 3) Energy Plus Food. These scenarios create different adaptive needs and measures on farms. Baseline scenario follows the present and forthcoming development in agriculture and Tight Control scenario, in turn, constitutes all possible mitigation measures recently introduced in the scientific discussion. In Energy Plus Food scenario, farms increasingly produce renewable energy in addition to food and, therefore, have new opportunities to develop their businesses. The Delphi panel estimated how the farms would cope with different future developments represented by the scenarios. Based on our results, it is evident that interdisciplinary analysis in research and inter-sectoral cooperation between agricultural and energy policies are required.},
	urldate = {2016-03-21},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Rintamäki, Heidi and Rikkonen, Pasi and Tapio, Petri},
	keywords = {agricultural policy, Climate and energy policy, Delphi method, Scenarios},
	file = {ScienceDirect Full Text PDF:files/48538/Rintamäki et al. - Carrot or stick Impacts of alternative climate an.pdf:application/pdf;ScienceDirect Snapshot:files/48548/S0016328716300581.html:text/html}
}

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