Marine regime shifts: drivers and impacts on ecosystems services. Rocha, J., Yletyinen, J., Biggs, R., Blenckner, T., & Peterson, G. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences, 370(1659):20130273, January, 2015. 00005
Marine regime shifts: drivers and impacts on ecosystems services [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
Marine ecosystems can experience regime shifts, in which they shift from being organized around one set of mutually reinforcing structures and processes to another. Anthropogenic global change has broadly increased a wide variety of processes that can drive regime shifts. To assess the vulnerability of marine ecosystems to such shifts and their potential consequences, we reviewed the scientific literature for 13 types of marine regime shifts and used networks to conduct an analysis of co-occurrence of drivers and ecosystem service impacts. We found that regime shifts are caused by multiple drivers and have multiple consequences that co-occur in a non-random pattern. Drivers related to food production, climate change and coastal development are the most common co-occurring causes of regime shifts, while cultural services, biodiversity and primary production are the most common cluster of ecosystem services affected. These clusters prioritize sets of drivers for management and highlight the need for coordinated actions across multiple drivers and scales to reduce the risk of marine regime shifts. Managerial strategies are likely to fail if they only address well-understood or data-rich variables, and international cooperation and polycentric institutions will be critical to implement and coordinate action across the scales at which different drivers operate. By better understanding these underlying patterns, we hope to inform the development of managerial strategies to reduce the risk of high-impact marine regime shifts, especially for areas of the world where data are not available or monitoring programmes are not in place.
@article{rocha_marine_2015,
	title = {Marine regime shifts: drivers and impacts on ecosystems services},
	volume = {370},
	copyright = {. © 2014 The Authors. Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.},
	issn = {0962-8436, 1471-2970},
	shorttitle = {Marine regime shifts},
	url = {http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/370/1659/20130273},
	doi = {10.1098/rstb.2013.0273},
	abstract = {Marine ecosystems can experience regime shifts, in which they shift from being organized around one set of mutually reinforcing structures and processes to another. Anthropogenic global change has broadly increased a wide variety of processes that can drive regime shifts. To assess the vulnerability of marine ecosystems to such shifts and their potential consequences, we reviewed the scientific literature for 13 types of marine regime shifts and used networks to conduct an analysis of co-occurrence of drivers and ecosystem service impacts. We found that regime shifts are caused by multiple drivers and have multiple consequences that co-occur in a non-random pattern. Drivers related to food production, climate change and coastal development are the most common co-occurring causes of regime shifts, while cultural services, biodiversity and primary production are the most common cluster of ecosystem services affected. These clusters prioritize sets of drivers for management and highlight the need for coordinated actions across multiple drivers and scales to reduce the risk of marine regime shifts. Managerial strategies are likely to fail if they only address well-understood or data-rich variables, and international cooperation and polycentric institutions will be critical to implement and coordinate action across the scales at which different drivers operate. By better understanding these underlying patterns, we hope to inform the development of managerial strategies to reduce the risk of high-impact marine regime shifts, especially for areas of the world where data are not available or monitoring programmes are not in place.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1659},
	urldate = {2015-04-06},
	journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences},
	author = {Rocha, J. and Yletyinen, J. and Biggs, R. and Blenckner, T. and Peterson, G.},
	month = jan,
	year = {2015},
	note = {00005},
	keywords = {biodiversity, boundaries, collapse, regime shifts, oceans},
	pages = {20130273},
	file = {Rocha et al. - 2015 - Marine regime shifts drivers and impacts on ecosy.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\9TXHZVJ2\\Rocha et al. - 2015 - Marine regime shifts drivers and impacts on ecosy.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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