Research on forecasting the time of occurrence of slope failure. Saito, M. & Japanese National, R. Railway Technical Research Institute, Quarterly Reports, 10(3):p. 135–142, 1969.
abstract   bibtex   
Full-scale experiments have shown that slope surface strain measurement is the most promising means of forecasting the time of slope failure. For this purpose, creep-rupture characteristics of soil must be known. The author proposes a method of forecasting the time of occurrence of slope failure, i.e., rough estimation from steady-state strain rate in the secondary creep range and precise estimation from optional strain rate in the tertiary creep range.
@article{saito_research_1969,
	title = {Research on forecasting the time of occurrence of slope failure},
	volume = {10},
	abstract = {Full-scale experiments have shown that slope surface strain measurement is the most promising means of forecasting the time of slope failure. For this purpose, creep-rupture characteristics of soil must be known. The author proposes a method of forecasting the time of occurrence of slope failure, i.e., rough estimation from steady-state strain rate in the secondary creep range and precise estimation from optional strain rate in the tertiary creep range.},
	number = {3},
	journal = {Railway Technical Research Institute, Quarterly Reports},
	author = {Saito, M. and Japanese National, Railways},
	year = {1969},
	keywords = {Creep, Forecasting, Japan, Slope failure, Soil mechanics, Technology},
	pages = {p. 135--142}
}

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