{"_id":"THPm4uqHs5yPWpQ9v","bibbaseid":"savill-shaw-deardon-tildesley-keeling-woolhouse-brooks-grenfell-topographicdeterminantsoffootandmouthdiseasetransmissionintheuk2001epidemic-2006","downloads":0,"creationDate":"2017-08-31T16:25:31.475Z","title":"Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic.","author_short":["Savill, N. J.","Shaw, D. J.","Deardon, R.","Tildesley, M. J.","Keeling, M. J.","Woolhouse, M. E. J.","Brooks, S. P.","Grenfell, B. T."],"year":2006,"bibtype":"article","biburl":"http://bibbase.org/zotero/jordanashworth","bibdata":{"bibtype":"article","type":"article","title":"Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic.","volume":"2","issn":"1746-6148 1746-6148","doi":"10.1186/1746-6148-2-3","abstract":"BACKGROUND: A key challenge for modelling infectious disease dynamics is to understand the spatial spread of infection in real landscapes. This ideally requires a parallel record of spatial epidemic spread and a detailed map of susceptible host density along with relevant transport links and geographical features. RESULTS: Here we analyse the most detailed such data to date arising from the UK 2001 foot and mouth epidemic. We show that Euclidean distance between infectious and susceptible premises is a better predictor of transmission risk than shortest and quickest routes via road, except where major geographical features intervene. CONCLUSION: Thus, a simple spatial transmission kernel based on Euclidean distance suffices in most regions, probably reflecting the multiplicity of transmission routes during the epidemic.","language":"eng","journal":"BMC veterinary research","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Savill"],"firstnames":["Nicholas","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Shaw"],"firstnames":["Darren","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Deardon"],"firstnames":["Rob"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Tildesley"],"firstnames":["Michael","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Keeling"],"firstnames":["Matthew","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Woolhouse"],"firstnames":["Mark","E.","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Brooks"],"firstnames":["Stephen","P."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Grenfell"],"firstnames":["Bryan","T."],"suffixes":[]}],"month":"January","year":"2006","pmid":"16412245","pmcid":"PMC1395309","keywords":"Animals, Computer Simulation, Disease Outbreaks/*veterinary, Foot-and-Mouth Disease/epidemiology/*transmission, Models, Biological, Risk, United Kingdom/epidemiology","pages":"3","bibtex":"@article{savill_topographic_2006,\n\ttitle = {Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the {UK} 2001 epidemic.},\n\tvolume = {2},\n\tissn = {1746-6148 1746-6148},\n\tdoi = {10.1186/1746-6148-2-3},\n\tabstract = {BACKGROUND: A key challenge for modelling infectious disease dynamics is to understand the spatial spread of infection in real landscapes. This ideally requires a parallel record of spatial epidemic spread and a detailed map of susceptible host density along with relevant transport links and geographical features. RESULTS: Here we analyse the most detailed such data to date arising from the UK 2001 foot and mouth epidemic. We show that Euclidean distance between infectious and susceptible premises is a better predictor of transmission risk than shortest and quickest routes via road, except where major geographical features intervene. CONCLUSION: Thus, a simple spatial transmission kernel based on Euclidean distance suffices in most regions, probably reflecting the multiplicity of transmission routes during the epidemic.},\n\tlanguage = {eng},\n\tjournal = {BMC veterinary research},\n\tauthor = {Savill, Nicholas J. and Shaw, Darren J. and Deardon, Rob and Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew J. and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. and Brooks, Stephen P. and Grenfell, Bryan T.},\n\tmonth = jan,\n\tyear = {2006},\n\tpmid = {16412245},\n\tpmcid = {PMC1395309},\n\tkeywords = {Animals, Computer Simulation, Disease Outbreaks/*veterinary, Foot-and-Mouth Disease/epidemiology/*transmission, Models, Biological, Risk, United Kingdom/epidemiology},\n\tpages = {3}\n}\n\n","author_short":["Savill, N. J.","Shaw, D. J.","Deardon, R.","Tildesley, M. J.","Keeling, M. J.","Woolhouse, M. E. J.","Brooks, S. P.","Grenfell, B. T."],"key":"savill_topographic_2006","id":"savill_topographic_2006","bibbaseid":"savill-shaw-deardon-tildesley-keeling-woolhouse-brooks-grenfell-topographicdeterminantsoffootandmouthdiseasetransmissionintheuk2001epidemic-2006","role":"author","urls":{},"keyword":["Animals","Computer Simulation","Disease Outbreaks/*veterinary","Foot-and-Mouth Disease/epidemiology/*transmission","Models","Biological","Risk","United Kingdom/epidemiology"],"downloads":0},"search_terms":["topographic","determinants","foot","mouth","disease","transmission","2001","epidemic","savill","shaw","deardon","tildesley","keeling","woolhouse","brooks","grenfell"],"keywords":["animals","computer simulation","disease outbreaks/*veterinary","foot-and-mouth disease/epidemiology/*transmission","models","biological","risk","united kingdom/epidemiology"],"authorIDs":[],"dataSources":["BBpzLHanDZ6NX8vCB"]}