Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in Europe. Schröter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araújo, M. B., Arnell, N. W., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T. R., Gracia, C. A., de la Vega-Leinert , A. C., Erhard, M., Ewert, F., Glendining, M., House, J. I., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R. J. T., Lavorel, S., Lindner, M., Metzger, M. J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T. D., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M. T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., Zaehle, S., & Zierl, B. Science, 310(5752):1333–1337, November, 2005. doi abstract bibtex Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, '' surplus land'' for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.
@article{schroterEcosystemServiceSupply2005,
title = {Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability to Global Change in {{Europe}}},
author = {Schr{\"o}ter, Dagmar and Cramer, Wolfgang and Leemans, Rik and Prentice, I. Colin and Ara{\'u}jo, Miguel B. and Arnell, Nigel W. and Bondeau, Alberte and Bugmann, Harald and Carter, Timothy R. and Gracia, Carlos A. and {de la Vega-Leinert}, Anne C. and Erhard, Markus and Ewert, Frank and Glendining, Margaret and House, Joanna I. and Kankaanp{\"a}{\"a}, Susanna and Klein, Richard J. T. and Lavorel, Sandra and Lindner, Marcus and Metzger, Marc J. and Meyer, Jeannette and Mitchell, Timothy D. and Reginster, Isabelle and Rounsevell, Mark and Sabat{\'e}, Santi and Sitch, Stephen and Smith, Ben and Smith, Jo and Smith, Pete and Sykes, Martin T. and Thonicke, Kirsten and Thuiller, Wilfried and Tuck, Gill and Zaehle, S{\"o}nke and Zierl, B{\"a}rbel},
year = {2005},
month = nov,
volume = {310},
pages = {1333--1337},
issn = {1095-9203},
doi = {10.1126/science.1115233},
abstract = {Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, '' surplus land'' for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.},
journal = {Science},
keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-460429,~to-add-doi-URL,agricultural-land,agricultural-resources,bioenergy,climate,climate-change,ecosystem,ecosystem-services,environmental-modelling,europe,forest-fires,forest-resources,global-change,land-use,mediterranean-region,mountainous-areas,scenario-analysis,soil-resources,vulnerability,water-resources,wildfires},
lccn = {INRMM-MiD:c-460429},
number = {5752}
}
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