Forest Disturbances under Climate Change

Forest Disturbances under Climate Change. Seidl, R., Thom, D., Kautz, M., Martin-Benito, D., Peltoniemi, M., Vacchiano, G., Wild, J., Ascoli, D., Petr, M., Honkaniemi, J., Lexer, M. J., Trotsiuk, V., Mairota, P., Svoboda, M., Fabrika, M., Nagel, T. A., & Reyer, C. P. O. Nature Climate Change, 7(6):395–402, May, 2017.
doi abstract bibtex

Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.

@article{seidlForestDisturbancesClimate2017,
  title = {Forest Disturbances under Climate Change},
  author = {Seidl, Rupert and Thom, Dominik and Kautz, Markus and {Martin-Benito}, Dario and Peltoniemi, Mikko and Vacchiano, Giorgio and Wild, Jan and Ascoli, Davide and Petr, Michal and Honkaniemi, Juha and Lexer, Manfred J. and Trotsiuk, Volodymyr and Mairota, Paola and Svoboda, Miroslav and Fabrika, Marek and Nagel, Thomas A. and Reyer, Christopher P. O.},
  year = {2017},
  month = may,
  volume = {7},
  pages = {395--402},
  issn = {1758-678X},
  doi = {10.1038/nclimate3303},
  abstract = {Forest disturbances are sensitive to climate. However, our understanding of disturbance dynamics in response to climatic changes remains incomplete, particularly regarding large-scale patterns, interaction effects and dampening feedbacks. Here we provide a global synthesis of climate change effects on important abiotic (fire, drought, wind, snow and ice) and biotic (insects and pathogens) disturbance agents. Warmer and drier conditions particularly facilitate fire, drought and insect disturbances, while warmer and wetter conditions increase disturbances from wind and pathogens. Widespread interactions between agents are likely to amplify disturbances, while indirect climate effects such as vegetation changes can dampen long-term disturbance sensitivities to climate. Future changes in disturbance are likely to be most pronounced in coniferous forests and the boreal biome. We conclude that both ecosystems and society should be prepared for an increasingly disturbed future of forests.},
  journal = {Nature Climate Change},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-14385628,~to-add-doi-URL,climate-change,disturbances,droughts,forest-fires,forest-pests,forest-resources,global-scale,insects,plant-pathogens,snow,wildfires,wind},
  lccn = {INRMM-MiD:c-14385628},
  number = {6}
}

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