Managing the judgmental probability elicitation process: a case study of analyst/manager interaction. Shephard, G. and Kirkwood, C. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 41:414 -425, 1994.
bibtex   
@Article{shephard1994,
  Title                    = {Managing the judgmental probability elicitation process: a case study of analyst/manager interaction},
  Author                   = {Shephard, G.G. and Kirkwood, C.W.},
  Journal                  = {IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management},
  Year                     = {1994},
  Pages                    = {414 -425},
  Volume                   = {41}
}
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