Predicting Grief Reactions One Year Following a Mass University Shooting: Evaluating Dose-Response and Contextual Predictors. Smith, A. J., Layne, C. M., Coyle, P., Kaplow, J. B., Brymer, M. J., Pynoos, R. S., & Jones, R. T. Violence and Victims, 32(6):1024–1043, 2017.
Predicting Grief Reactions One Year Following a Mass University Shooting: Evaluating Dose-Response and Contextual Predictors [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
This study identifies risk factors for grief following a mass school shooting. Participants ( N = 1,013) completed online questionnaires 3–4 months (Time 1) and 1 year (Time 2) post-shootings. We tested models predicting Time 2 grief reactions, exploring direct and indirect predictive effects of exposure variables (physical and social proximity) through hypothesized peritraumatic mediators ( peritraumatic perceived threat to self or others ) while controlling for Time 1 grief and posttraumatic stress (PTS) reactions , pretrauma vulnerabilities . Findings demonstrate that closer social proximity predicted higher levels of Time 2 grief, directly and indirectly through increasing peritraumatic perceived threat to others’ safety. Physical proximity and peritraumatic threat to self did not predict Time 2 grief reactions. Implications for grief screening instruments and theory building research through identifying risk factors and causal mechanisms are discussed.
@article{smith_predicting_2017,
	title = {Predicting {Grief} {Reactions} {One} {Year} {Following} a {Mass} {University} {Shooting}: {Evaluating} {Dose}-{Response} and {Contextual} {Predictors}},
	volume = {32},
	issn = {0886-6708, 1945-7073},
	shorttitle = {Predicting {Grief} {Reactions} {One} {Year} {Following} a {Mass} {University} {Shooting}},
	url = {http://connect.springerpub.com/lookup/doi/10.1891/0886-6708.VV-D-16-00043},
	doi = {10.1891/0886-6708.VV-D-16-00043},
	abstract = {This study identifies risk factors for grief following a mass school shooting. Participants (
              N
              = 1,013) completed online questionnaires 3–4 months (Time 1) and 1 year (Time 2) post-shootings. We tested models predicting Time 2 grief reactions, exploring direct and indirect predictive effects of
              exposure variables
              (physical and social proximity) through hypothesized peritraumatic mediators (
              peritraumatic perceived threat
              to
              self
              or
              others
              ) while controlling for
              Time 1 grief
              and
              posttraumatic stress (PTS) reactions
              ,
              pretrauma vulnerabilities
              . Findings demonstrate that closer social proximity predicted higher levels of Time 2 grief, directly and indirectly through increasing peritraumatic perceived threat to others’ safety. Physical proximity and peritraumatic threat to self did not predict Time 2 grief reactions. Implications for grief screening instruments and theory building research through identifying risk factors and causal mechanisms are discussed.},
	language = {en},
	number = {6},
	urldate = {2021-08-09},
	journal = {Violence and Victims},
	author = {Smith, Andrew J. and Layne, Christopher M. and Coyle, Patrick and Kaplow, Julie B. and Brymer, Melissa J. and Pynoos, Robert S. and Jones, Russell T.},
	year = {2017},
	pages = {1024--1043},
}

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