@article{thomasExtinctionRiskClimate2004,
  title = {Extinction Risk from Climate Change},
  author = {Thomas, Chris D. and Cameron, Alison and Green, Rhys E. and Bakkenes, Michel and Beaumont, Linda J. and Collingham, Yvonne C. and Erasmus, Barend F. N. and {de Siqueira}, Marinez F. and Grainger, Alan and Hannah, Lee and Hughes, Lesley and Huntley, Brian and {van Jaarsveld}, Albert S. and Midgley, Guy F. and Miles, Lera and {Ortega-Huerta}, Miguel A. and Townsend Peterson, A. and Phillips, Oliver L. and Williams, Stephen E.},
  year = {2004},
  month = jan,
  volume = {427},
  pages = {145--148},
  issn = {0028-0836},
  doi = {10.1038/nature02121},
  abstract = {Climate change over the past 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20\,\% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37\,\% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (18\%) than mid-range (24\%) and maximum-change (35\%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.},
  journal = {Nature},
  keywords = {*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-165308,climate-change,climate-projections,communicating-uncertainty,fragmentation,invasive-species,irreversibility,species-distribution,species-extinction},
  lccn = {INRMM-MiD:c-165308},
  number = {6970}
}

{"_id":"mPdHgxEHvGPLKjwPm","bibbaseid":"thomas-cameron-green-bakkenes-beaumont-collingham-erasmus-desiqueira-etal-extinctionriskfromclimatechange-2004","downloads":0,"creationDate":"2016-01-08T19:59:54.391Z","title":"Extinction Risk from Climate Change","author_short":["Thomas, C. D.","Cameron, A.","Green, R. E.","Bakkenes, M.","Beaumont, L. J.","Collingham, Y. C.","Erasmus, B. F. N.","de Siqueira , M. F.","Grainger, A.","Hannah, L.","Hughes, L.","Huntley, B.","van Jaarsveld , A. S.","Midgley, G. F.","Miles, L.","Ortega-Huerta, M. A.","Townsend Peterson, A.","Phillips, O. L.","Williams, S. E."],"year":2004,"bibtype":"article","biburl":"https://sharefast.me/php/download.php?id=zOUKvA&token=29","bibdata":{"bibtype":"article","type":"article","title":"Extinction Risk from Climate Change","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Thomas"],"firstnames":["Chris","D."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Cameron"],"firstnames":["Alison"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Green"],"firstnames":["Rhys","E."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Bakkenes"],"firstnames":["Michel"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Beaumont"],"firstnames":["Linda","J."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Collingham"],"firstnames":["Yvonne","C."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Erasmus"],"firstnames":["Barend","F.","N."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":["de Siqueira"],"lastnames":[],"firstnames":["Marinez","F."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Grainger"],"firstnames":["Alan"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Hannah"],"firstnames":["Lee"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Hughes"],"firstnames":["Lesley"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Huntley"],"firstnames":["Brian"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":["van Jaarsveld"],"lastnames":[],"firstnames":["Albert","S."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Midgley"],"firstnames":["Guy","F."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Miles"],"firstnames":["Lera"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Ortega-Huerta"],"firstnames":["Miguel","A."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Townsend","Peterson"],"firstnames":["A."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Phillips"],"firstnames":["Oliver","L."],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Williams"],"firstnames":["Stephen","E."],"suffixes":[]}],"year":"2004","month":"January","volume":"427","pages":"145–148","issn":"0028-0836","doi":"10.1038/nature02121","abstract":"Climate change over the past 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20\\,% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37\\,% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (18%) than mid-range (24%) and maximum-change (35%) scenarios. These estimates show the importance of rapid implementation of technologies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions and strategies for carbon sequestration.","journal":"Nature","keywords":"*imported-from-citeulike-INRMM,~INRMM-MiD:c-165308,climate-change,climate-projections,communicating-uncertainty,fragmentation,invasive-species,irreversibility,species-distribution,species-extinction","lccn":"INRMM-MiD:c-165308","number":"6970","bibtex":"@article{thomasExtinctionRiskClimate2004,\n title = {Extinction Risk from Climate Change},\n author = {Thomas, Chris D. and Cameron, Alison and Green, Rhys E. and Bakkenes, Michel and Beaumont, Linda J. and Collingham, Yvonne C. and Erasmus, Barend F. N. and {de Siqueira}, Marinez F. and Grainger, Alan and Hannah, Lee and Hughes, Lesley and Huntley, Brian and {van Jaarsveld}, Albert S. and Midgley, Guy F. and Miles, Lera and {Ortega-Huerta}, Miguel A. and Townsend Peterson, A. and Phillips, Oliver L. and Williams, Stephen E.},\n year = {2004},\n month = jan,\n volume = {427},\n pages = {145--148},\n issn = {0028-0836},\n doi = {10.1038/nature02121},\n abstract = {Climate change over the past 30 years has produced numerous shifts in the distributions and abundances of species and has been implicated in one species-level extinction. Using projections of species' distributions for future climate scenarios, we assess extinction risks for sample regions that cover some 20\\,\\% of the Earth's terrestrial surface. Exploring three approaches in which the estimated probability of extinction shows a power-law relationship with geographical range size, we predict, on the basis of mid-range climate-warming scenarios for 2050, that 15-37\\,\\% of species in our sample of regions and taxa will be 'committed to extinction'. When the average of the three methods and two dispersal scenarios is taken, minimal climate-warming scenarios produce lower projections of species committed to extinction (18\\%) than mid-range (24\\%) and maximum-change (35\\%) scenarios. 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