Obligations to future generations and acceptable risks of human extinction. Tonn, B. E. Futures, 41(7):427–435, September, 2009.
Obligations to future generations and acceptable risks of human extinction [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
This paper addresses the question, ‘what is the acceptable risk of human extinction?’ Three qualitative obligations to future generations – The Fairness Criterion, The Unfinished Business Criterion, and the Maintaining Options Criterion – are used to produce quantitative estimates of the acceptable risk. The resulting acceptable risks are all at or below 10−20, a very stringent standard.
@article{tonn_obligations_2009,
	title = {Obligations to future generations and acceptable risks of human extinction},
	volume = {41},
	issn = {0016-3287},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328709000020},
	doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2009.01.009},
	abstract = {This paper addresses the question, ‘what is the acceptable risk of human extinction?’ Three qualitative obligations to future generations – The Fairness Criterion, The Unfinished Business Criterion, and the Maintaining Options Criterion – are used to produce quantitative estimates of the acceptable risk. The resulting acceptable risks are all at or below 10−20, a very stringent standard.},
	number = {7},
	urldate = {2015-02-24},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Tonn, Bruce E.},
	month = sep,
	year = {2009},
	keywords = {collapse, existential-risks, reboot},
	pages = {427--435},
	file = {Tonn - 2009 - Obligations to future generations and acceptable r.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\B428WK3S\\Tonn - 2009 - Obligations to future generations and acceptable r.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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