Understanding carbon lock-in. Unruh, G. C. Energy Policy, 28(12):817–830, October, 2000.
Understanding carbon lock-in [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
This paper narrative argues that industrial economies have been locked into fossil fuel-based energy systems through a process of technological and institutional co-evolution driven by path-dependent increasing returns to scale. It is asserted that this condition, termed carbon lock-in, creates persistent market and policy failures that can inhibit the diffusion of carbon-saving technologies despite their apparent environmental and economic advantages. The notion of a Techno-Institutional Complex is introduced to capture the idea that lock-in occurs through combined interactions among technological systems and governing institutions. While carbon lock-in provides a conceptual basis for understanding macro-level barriers to the diffusion of carbon-saving technologies, it also generates questions for standard economic modeling approaches that abstract away technological and institutional evolution in their elaboration. The question of escaping carbon lock-in is left for a future paper.
@article{unruh_understanding_2000,
	title = {Understanding carbon lock-in},
	volume = {28},
	issn = {0301-4215},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/B6V2W-40T9HJ3-1/2/8ff1f7385f1fef1c62be6851af59746e},
	doi = {doi: DOI: 10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00070-7},
	abstract = {This paper narrative argues that industrial economies have been locked into fossil fuel-based energy systems through a process of technological and institutional co-evolution driven by path-dependent increasing returns to scale. It is asserted that this condition, termed carbon lock-in, creates persistent market and policy failures that can inhibit the diffusion of carbon-saving technologies despite their apparent environmental and economic advantages. The notion of a Techno-Institutional Complex is introduced to capture the idea that lock-in occurs through combined interactions among technological systems and governing institutions. While carbon lock-in provides a conceptual basis for understanding macro-level barriers to the diffusion of carbon-saving technologies, it also generates questions for standard economic modeling approaches that abstract away technological and institutional evolution in their elaboration. The question of escaping carbon lock-in is left for a future paper.},
	number = {12},
	journal = {Energy Policy},
	author = {Unruh, Gregory C.},
	month = oct,
	year = {2000},
	keywords = {collapse, lock-in},
	pages = {817--830},
	file = {Unruh - 2000 - Understanding carbon lock-in.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\H86DGKH9\\Unruh - 2000 - Understanding carbon lock-in.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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