A widely-used eddy covariance gap-filling method creates systematic bias in carbon balance estimates. Vekuri, H., Tuovinen, J., Kulmala, L., Papale, D., Kolari, P., Aurela, M., Laurila, T., Liski, J., & Lohila, A. Scientific Reports, 13(1):1720, January, 2023.
A widely-used eddy covariance gap-filling method creates systematic bias in carbon balance estimates [link]Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   
Abstract Climate change mitigation requires, besides reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, actions to increase carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems. A key measurement method for quantifying such sinks and calibrating models is the eddy covariance technique, but it requires imputation, or gap-filling, of missing data for determination of annual carbon balances of ecosystems. Previous comparisons of gap-filling methods have concluded that commonly used methods, such as marginal distribution sampling (MDS), do not have a significant impact on the carbon balance estimate. By analyzing an extensive, global data set, we show that MDS causes significant carbon balance errors for northern (latitude $$\textgreater60\textasciicircum\circ$$ \textgreater 60 ∘ ) sites. MDS systematically overestimates the carbon dioxide (CO $$_2$$ 2 ) emissions of carbon sources and underestimates the CO $$_2$$ 2 sequestration of carbon sinks. We also reveal reasons for these biases and show how a machine learning method called extreme gradient boosting or a modified implementation of MDS can be used to substantially reduce the northern site bias.
@article{vekuri_widely-used_2023,
	title = {A widely-used eddy covariance gap-filling method creates systematic bias in carbon balance estimates},
	volume = {13},
	issn = {2045-2322},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-023-28827-2},
	doi = {10.1038/s41598-023-28827-2},
	abstract = {Abstract
            
              Climate change mitigation requires, besides reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, actions to increase carbon sinks in terrestrial ecosystems. A key measurement method for quantifying such sinks and calibrating models is the eddy covariance technique, but it requires imputation, or gap-filling, of missing data for determination of annual carbon balances of ecosystems. Previous comparisons of gap-filling methods have concluded that commonly used methods, such as marginal distribution sampling (MDS), do not have a significant impact on the carbon balance estimate. By analyzing an extensive, global data set, we show that MDS causes significant carbon balance errors for northern (latitude
              
                
                  \$\${\textgreater}60{\textasciicircum}{\textbackslash}circ\$\$
                  
                    
                      {\textgreater}
                      
                        60
                        ∘
                      
                    
                  
                
              
              ) sites. MDS systematically overestimates the carbon dioxide (CO
              
                
                  \$\$\_2\$\$
                  
                    
                      
                      2
                    
                  
                
              
              ) emissions of carbon sources and underestimates the CO
              
                
                  \$\$\_2\$\$
                  
                    
                      
                      2
                    
                  
                
              
              sequestration of carbon sinks. We also reveal reasons for these biases and show how a machine learning method called extreme gradient boosting or a modified implementation of MDS can be used to substantially reduce the northern site bias.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2024-11-15},
	journal = {Scientific Reports},
	author = {Vekuri, Henriikka and Tuovinen, Juha-Pekka and Kulmala, Liisa and Papale, Dario and Kolari, Pasi and Aurela, Mika and Laurila, Tuomas and Liski, Jari and Lohila, Annalea},
	month = jan,
	year = {2023},
	pages = {1720},
}

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