A dynamic model of the Bay of Biscay pelagic fleet simulating fishing trip choice: the response to the closure of the European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) fishery in 2005. Vermard, Y., Marchal, P., Mahevas, S., & Thebaud, O. CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES, 65(11):2444-2453, NATL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA-N R C RESEARCH PRESS, BUILDING M 55, OTTAWA, ON K1A 0R6, CANADA, NOV, 2008.
doi  abstract   bibtex   
The scope of this paper is to describe, evaluate, and forecast fishing trip choices of the Bay of Biscay pelagic fleet using random utility modeling (RUM). First, alternative fishing trip choices of this fleet were identified using multivariate statistical methods based on species landings weighted by value and defined as distinct fishing activity or fisheries (termed metiers). A RUM was specified, which included trip components as attributes during the period 20012004 ( a lagged percentage of the value per unit of effort of the main species caught, total value per unit of effort, and inertia in terms of changes from one metier to another). For the main metiers, the proportion of correct effort allocation is 90% during the calibration period of 2001-2004. The results from the RUM are used to parameterize a simulation model of trip choice. The model is used to predict trip choices in 2005, throughout most of which fishing was constrained by the closure of the European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) fishery. Simulation results are compared with observed trip choices following the fishing ban: 80% of observed trip choices are correctly predicted by the model. The capacity of the behavioral model to predict responses to the closure is then discussed.
@article{ ISI:000261908500012,
Author = {Vermard, Youen and Marchal, Paul and Mahevas, Stephanie and Thebaud,
   Olivier},
Title = {{A dynamic model of the Bay of Biscay pelagic fleet simulating fishing
   trip choice: the response to the closure of the European anchovy
   (Engraulis encrasicolus) fishery in 2005}},
Journal = {{CANADIAN JOURNAL OF FISHERIES AND AQUATIC SCIENCES}},
Year = {{2008}},
Volume = {{65}},
Number = {{11}},
Pages = {{2444-2453}},
Month = {{NOV}},
Abstract = {{The scope of this paper is to describe, evaluate, and forecast fishing
   trip choices of the Bay of Biscay pelagic fleet using random utility
   modeling (RUM). First, alternative fishing trip choices of this fleet
   were identified using multivariate statistical methods based on species
   landings weighted by value and defined as distinct fishing activity or
   fisheries (termed metiers). A RUM was specified, which included trip
   components as attributes during the period 20012004 ( a lagged
   percentage of the value per unit of effort of the main species caught,
   total value per unit of effort, and inertia in terms of changes from one
   metier to another). For the main metiers, the proportion of correct
   effort allocation is 90\% during the calibration period of 2001-2004.
   The results from the RUM are used to parameterize a simulation model of
   trip choice. The model is used to predict trip choices in 2005,
   throughout most of which fishing was constrained by the closure of the
   European anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) fishery. Simulation results
   are compared with observed trip choices following the fishing ban: 80\%
   of observed trip choices are correctly predicted by the model. The
   capacity of the behavioral model to predict responses to the closure is
   then discussed.}},
Publisher = {{NATL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA-N R C RESEARCH PRESS}},
Address = {{BUILDING M 55, OTTAWA, ON K1A 0R6, CANADA}},
Type = {{Article}},
Language = {{English}},
Affiliation = {{Vermard, Y (Reprint Author), Agrocampus Rennes Pole Halieut,65 Rue St Brieuc,C, F-35042 Rennes, France.
   Vermard, Youen; Marchal, Paul, IFREMER, Dept Halieut Manche Mer Nord, F-62321 Boulogne S Mer, France.
   Vermard, Youen; Mahevas, Stephanie, IFREMER, Dept Ecol \& Models Halieut, F-44311 Nantes 03, France.
   Thebaud, Olivier, IFREMER, UMR AMURE, F-29280 Plouzane, France.}},
DOI = {{10.1139/F08-147}},
ISSN = {{0706-652X}},
Keywords-Plus = {{MANAGEMENT STRATEGIES; ISIS-FISH; BEHAVIOR; IMPACT}},
Research-Areas = {{Fisheries; Marine \& Freshwater Biology}},
Web-of-Science-Categories  = {{Fisheries; Marine \& Freshwater Biology}},
Author-Email = {{Youen.Vermard@ifremer.fr}},
ResearcherID-Numbers = {{Thebaud, Olivier/D-9792-2011
   }},
ORCID-Numbers = {{Thebaud, Olivier/0000-0001-8665-3827
   Marchal, Paul/0000-0003-2047-4599
   Vermard, Youen/0000-0003-2828-2815}},
Funding-Acknowledgement = {{European Union {[}022644]}},
Funding-Text = {{We are very grateful for financial support through the CAFE project of
   the European Union (DG-Fish, contract no. 022644). We would also like to
   acknowledge the two anonymous referees for their relevant comments that
   have improved the paper.}},
Number-of-Cited-References = {{28}},
Times-Cited = {{35}},
Usage-Count-Last-180-days = {{4}},
Usage-Count-Since-2013 = {{11}},
Journal-ISO = {{Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci.}},
Doc-Delivery-Number = {{386UQ}},
Unique-ID = {{ISI:000261908500012}},
OA = {{No}},
DA = {{2017-08-17}},
}

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