The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., Scovronick, N., Sera, F., Royé, D., Schneider, R., Tobias, A., Astrom, C., Guo, Y., Honda, Y., Hondula, D. M., Abrutzky, R., Tong, S., Coelho, M. d. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Lavigne, E., Correa, P. M., Ortega, N. V., Kan, H., Osorio, S., Kyselý, J., Urban, A., Orru, H., Indermitte, E., Jaakkola, J. J. K., Ryti, N., Pascal, M., Schneider, A., Katsouyanni, K., Samoli, E., Mayvaneh, F., Entezari, A., Goodman, P., Zeka, A., Michelozzi, P., de’Donato , F., Hashizume, M., Alahmad, B., Diaz, M. H., Valencia, C. D. L. C., Overcenco, A., Houthuijs, D., Ameling, C., Rao, S., Di Ruscio, F., Carrasco-Escobar, G., Seposo, X., Silva, S., Madureira, J., Holobaca, I. H., Fratianni, S., Acquaotta, F., Kim, H., Lee, W., Iniguez, C., Forsberg, B., Ragettli, M. S., Guo, Y. L. L., Chen, B. Y., Li, S., Armstrong, B., Aleman, A., Zanobetti, A., Schwartz, J., Dang, T. N., Dung, D. V., Gillett, N., Haines, A., Mengel, M., Huber, V., & Gasparrini, A. Nature Climate Change, 11(6):492–500, June, 2021. Publisher: Nature Publishing Group

Paper doi abstract bibtex

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

@article{vicedo-cabrera_burden_2021,
	title = {The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change},
	volume = {11},
	copyright = {2021 The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited},
	issn = {1758-6798},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-021-01058-x},
	doi = {10.1038/s41558-021-01058-x},
	abstract = {Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0\% (range 20.5–76.3\%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.},
	language = {en},
	number = {6},
	urldate = {2025-04-14},
	journal = {Nature Climate Change},
	author = {Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. and Scovronick, N. and Sera, F. and Royé, D. and Schneider, R. and Tobias, A. and Astrom, C. and Guo, Y. and Honda, Y. and Hondula, D. M. and Abrutzky, R. and Tong, S. and Coelho, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio and Saldiva, P. H. Nascimento and Lavigne, E. and Correa, P. Matus and Ortega, N. Valdes and Kan, H. and Osorio, S. and Kyselý, J. and Urban, A. and Orru, H. and Indermitte, E. and Jaakkola, J. J. K. and Ryti, N. and Pascal, M. and Schneider, A. and Katsouyanni, K. and Samoli, E. and Mayvaneh, F. and Entezari, A. and Goodman, P. and Zeka, A. and Michelozzi, P. and de’Donato, F. and Hashizume, M. and Alahmad, B. and Diaz, M. Hurtado and Valencia, C. De La Cruz and Overcenco, A. and Houthuijs, D. and Ameling, C. and Rao, S. and Di Ruscio, F. and Carrasco-Escobar, G. and Seposo, X. and Silva, S. and Madureira, J. and Holobaca, I. H. and Fratianni, S. and Acquaotta, F. and Kim, H. and Lee, W. and Iniguez, C. and Forsberg, B. and Ragettli, M. S. and Guo, Y. L. L. and Chen, B. Y. and Li, S. and Armstrong, B. and Aleman, A. and Zanobetti, A. and Schwartz, J. and Dang, T. N. and Dung, D. V. and Gillett, N. and Haines, A. and Mengel, M. and Huber, V. and Gasparrini, A.},
	month = jun,
	year = {2021},
	note = {Publisher: Nature Publishing Group},
	keywords = {Attribution, Climate-change impacts, Environmental impact},
	pages = {492--500},
}

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