Coping With Simulators That Don’t Always Return. Warrington, A, Naderiparizi, S, & Wood, F In The 23rd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS), 2020. PMLR 108:1748-1758Link Paper Poster Arxiv abstract bibtex 8 downloads Deterministic models are approximations of reality that are easy to interpret and often easier to build than stochastic alternatives. Unfortunately, as nature is capricious, observational data can never be fully explained by deterministic models in practice. Observation and process noise need to be added to adapt deterministic models to behave stochastically, such that they are capable of explaining and extrapolating from noisy data. We investigate and address computational inefficiencies that arise from adding process noise to deterministic simulators that fail to return for certain inputs; a property we describe as "brittle." We show how to train a conditional normalizing flow to propose perturbations such that the simulator succeeds with high probability, increasing computational efficiency.
@inproceedings{WAR-20,
title={Coping With Simulators That Don’t Always Return},
author={Warrington, A and Naderiparizi, S and Wood, F},
booktitle={The 23rd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)},
archiveprefix = {arXiv},
eprint = {1906.05462},
year={2020},
url_Link = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a.html},
url_Paper = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a/warrington20a.pdf},
url_Poster = {https://github.com/plai-group/bibliography/blob/master/presentations_posters/WAR-20.pdf},
url_ArXiv = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.12908},
keywords = {simulators, smc, autoregressive flow},
support = {D3M,ETALUMIS},
bibbase_note={PMLR 108:1748-1758},
abstract = {Deterministic models are approximations of reality that are easy to interpret and often easier to build than stochastic alternatives. Unfortunately, as nature is capricious, observational data can never be fully explained by deterministic models in practice. Observation and process noise need to be added to adapt deterministic models to behave stochastically, such that they are capable of explaining and extrapolating from noisy data. We investigate and address computational inefficiencies that arise from adding process noise to deterministic simulators that fail to return for certain inputs; a property we describe as "brittle." We show how to train a conditional normalizing flow to propose perturbations such that the simulator succeeds with high probability, increasing computational efficiency.}
}
Downloads: 8
{"_id":"CwdM6xmH5spQd8vAK","bibbaseid":"warrington-naderiparizi-wood-copingwithsimulatorsthatdontalwaysreturn-2020","authorIDs":["5e5b2ebe2aebc8df0100006e","5e5b36382aebc8df010000b6","5e5b39f92aebc8df010000cd"],"author_short":["Warrington, A","Naderiparizi, S","Wood, F"],"bibdata":{"bibtype":"inproceedings","type":"inproceedings","title":"Coping With Simulators That Don’t Always Return","author":[{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Warrington"],"firstnames":["A"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Naderiparizi"],"firstnames":["S"],"suffixes":[]},{"propositions":[],"lastnames":["Wood"],"firstnames":["F"],"suffixes":[]}],"booktitle":"The 23rd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)","archiveprefix":"arXiv","eprint":"1906.05462","year":"2020","url_link":"http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a.html","url_paper":"http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a/warrington20a.pdf","url_poster":"https://github.com/plai-group/bibliography/blob/master/presentations_posters/WAR-20.pdf","url_arxiv":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.12908","keywords":"simulators, smc, autoregressive flow","support":"D3M,ETALUMIS","bibbase_note":"PMLR 108:1748-1758","abstract":"Deterministic models are approximations of reality that are easy to interpret and often easier to build than stochastic alternatives. Unfortunately, as nature is capricious, observational data can never be fully explained by deterministic models in practice. Observation and process noise need to be added to adapt deterministic models to behave stochastically, such that they are capable of explaining and extrapolating from noisy data. We investigate and address computational inefficiencies that arise from adding process noise to deterministic simulators that fail to return for certain inputs; a property we describe as \"brittle.\" We show how to train a conditional normalizing flow to propose perturbations such that the simulator succeeds with high probability, increasing computational efficiency.","bibtex":"@inproceedings{WAR-20,\n title={Coping With Simulators That Don’t Always Return},\n author={Warrington, A and Naderiparizi, S and Wood, F},\n booktitle={The 23rd International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)},\n archiveprefix = {arXiv},\n eprint = {1906.05462},\n year={2020},\n url_Link = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a.html},\n url_Paper = {http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a/warrington20a.pdf},\n url_Poster = {https://github.com/plai-group/bibliography/blob/master/presentations_posters/WAR-20.pdf},\n url_ArXiv = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.12908},\n keywords = {simulators, smc, autoregressive flow},\n support = {D3M,ETALUMIS},\n bibbase_note={PMLR 108:1748-1758},\n abstract = {Deterministic models are approximations of reality that are easy to interpret and often easier to build than stochastic alternatives. Unfortunately, as nature is capricious, observational data can never be fully explained by deterministic models in practice. Observation and process noise need to be added to adapt deterministic models to behave stochastically, such that they are capable of explaining and extrapolating from noisy data. We investigate and address computational inefficiencies that arise from adding process noise to deterministic simulators that fail to return for certain inputs; a property we describe as \"brittle.\" We show how to train a conditional normalizing flow to propose perturbations such that the simulator succeeds with high probability, increasing computational efficiency.}\n }\n\n","author_short":["Warrington, A","Naderiparizi, S","Wood, F"],"key":"WAR-20","id":"WAR-20","bibbaseid":"warrington-naderiparizi-wood-copingwithsimulatorsthatdontalwaysreturn-2020","role":"author","urls":{" link":"http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a.html"," paper":"http://proceedings.mlr.press/v108/warrington20a/warrington20a.pdf"," poster":"https://github.com/plai-group/bibliography/blob/master/presentations_posters/WAR-20.pdf"," arxiv":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2003.12908"},"keyword":["simulators","smc","autoregressive flow"],"metadata":{"authorlinks":{}},"downloads":8},"bibtype":"inproceedings","biburl":"https://raw.githubusercontent.com/plai-group/bibliography/master/group_publications.bib","creationDate":"2020-01-28T23:30:32.211Z","downloads":8,"keywords":["simulators","smc","autoregressive flow"],"search_terms":["coping","simulators","don","always","return","warrington","naderiparizi","wood"],"title":"Coping With Simulators That Don’t Always Return","year":2020,"dataSources":["7avRLRrz2ifJGMKcD","BKH7YtW7K7WNMA3cj","wyN5DxtoT6AQuiXnm"]}