Collapse? The" Dismal" Science Doesn't Think So: Economists' Views of the Future. Whaples, R. The Independent Review, 11(2):275–281, 2006. 00003
Collapse? The" Dismal" Science Doesn't Think So: Economists' Views of the Future [link]Paper  abstract   bibtex   
In the best-seller Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005), Jared Diamond confronts the reader with stories of the collapse and even extinction of past societies. He claims ultimately to be a “cautious optimist” (521) about the future, but he still sees a strong likelihood that we are headed globally into decline. Are we likely to live out such a scenario? After briefly reviewing the history of American economists’ thinking about the future, I confront the pessimism of the prophets of decline with the findings of a survey of economists about what the future will bring and the most important economic challenges looming before us. As this essay’s title suggests, economists do not credit neo-Malthusian predictions of decline. The economists are instead very optimistic about the future. Their worries gravitate more toward problems with governmental programs rather than toward problems with the environment and depletion of resources.
@article{whaples_collapse?_2006,
	title = {Collapse? {The}" {Dismal}" {Science} {Doesn}'t {Think} {So}: {Economists}' {Views} of the {Future}},
	volume = {11},
	shorttitle = {Collapse?},
	url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/24562228},
	abstract = {In the best-seller Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005), Jared Diamond confronts the reader with stories of the collapse and even extinction of past societies. He claims ultimately to be a “cautious optimist” (521) about the  future,  but  he  still  sees  a  strong  likelihood  that  we  are  headed  globally  into  decline. Are we likely to live out such a scenario? After briefly reviewing the history of American  economists’  thinking  about  the  future,  I  confront  the  pessimism  of  the  prophets of decline with the findings of a survey of economists about what the future will  bring  and  the  most  important  economic  challenges  looming  before  us.  As  this  essay’s title suggests, economists do not credit neo-Malthusian predictions of decline. 
The economists are instead very  optimistic about the future. Their worries gravitate more  toward  problems  with  governmental  programs  rather  than  toward  problems  with the environment and depletion of resources.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2017-04-23},
	journal = {The Independent Review},
	author = {Whaples, Robert},
	year = {2006},
	note = {00003},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {275--281},
	file = {Whaples - 2006 - Collapse The Dismal Science Doesn't Think So E.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\ZZ3TQ6D9\\Whaples - 2006 - Collapse The Dismal Science Doesn't Think So E.pdf:application/pdf}
}

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