Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{galafassi_stories_2018,
	title = {Stories in social-ecological knowledge cocreation},
	volume = {23},
	issn = {1708-3087},
	url = {https://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol23/iss1/art23/},
	doi = {10.5751/ES-09932-230123},
	abstract = {Transformations in social-ecological systems to overturn poverty and ecosystem degradation require approaches to knowledge synthesis that are inclusive and open to creative innovation. We draw on interviews with participants and in-depth process observation of an iterative knowledge cocreation process in Kenya and Mozambique that brought together scientists, community representatives, government representatives, and practitioners who had expertise or experience in poverty and/or coastal natural resource use and management. We analyze the communicative spaces opened by techniques of system diagrams and future scenarios, and provide a rich account of the emergent process of developing a “shared conceptual repertoire” as a basis for effective communication and knowledge synthesis. Our results highlight the difficulties of challenging dominant narratives and the creative potential that exists in reflecting on their underpinning assumptions. In our analysis, stories and lived experiences emerged as key means shaping the construction of shared concepts and ideas. We conclude by outlining the implications of designing knowledge cocreation processes that support the task of devising systemic interventions that are robust for a range of future scenarios. This includes embracing the role of stories in generating shared meanings and opening up spaces for exploration of knowledge assumptions that are embedded in intervention narratives.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2018-03-23},
	journal = {Ecology and Society},
	author = {Galafassi, Diego and Daw, Tim M. and Thyresson, Matilda and Rosendo, Sergio and Chaigneau, Tomas and Bandeira, Salomão and Munyi, Lydiah and Gabrielsson, Ida and Brown, Katrina},
	year = {2018},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology, storytelling},
	file = {Galafassi et al. - 2018 - Stories in social-ecological knowledge cocreation.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\V9DZMGS8\\Galafassi et al. - 2018 - Stories in social-ecological knowledge cocreation.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{zwick_green_2018,
	title = {“{Green} {Day}”: {EROI} and {Why} {Alternative} {Energy} will be the {Future} {Conventional} {Energy}},
	shorttitle = {“{Green} {Day}”},
	author = {Zwick, Austin},
	year = {2018},
	keywords = {EROI, energy, limits, collapse},
	file = {Zwick - 2018 - “Green Day” EROI and Why Alternative Energy will .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\KUWQ93LI\\Zwick - 2018 - “Green Day” EROI and Why Alternative Energy will .pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{chaudhary_breaking_2018,
	title = {Breaking bad news in the {Emergency} {Department}: {Unexpected} events, {Unexpected} {Consequences}},
	volume = {5},
	shorttitle = {Breaking bad news in the {Emergency} {Department}},
	abstract = {Aims and objective:   To spread the awareness among physicians that how to deliver the bad news to the relative and to aware the effects of the bad news on the receiving end and to tackle a varied range of emotional outbursts. Breaking bad news training to the physicians can reduce the adverse effect on the receiving end.

Methods: We conducted a randomised double blind study to identify the reaction of the patient’s relative while breaking the bad news. In this study, 60 deaths of any age group occurred in the Emergency Department of MGM Medical College, Navi Mumbai from the period January 2015 to September 2015 were taken. Alternate deaths were divided into two groups .Group B was conveyed the bad news in a conventional way and unstructured way whereas a structured format was followed for the Group A.

Results: It was observed that group A was far better able to cope up with the bad news than group B. Initial shock reaction or vasovagal syncope situation was around 20 \% in group B whereas in group A it was nearly 6\%.Anger situation was found to be around 16\% in group B and in group A it was approx. 3\%. Psychosis was around 10 \%, Guilty around 3 percent and other reaction like denial 3\% was found in group B which was relatively higher than group A.},
	number = {11},
	journal = {PARIPEX-INDIAN JOURNAL OF RESEARCH},
	author = {Chaudhary, Abhishek and Bhusare, D. B. and Ahmed, Khizar},
	year = {2018},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse, bad-news},
	file = {Chaudhary et al. - 2018 - Breaking bad news in the Emergency Department Une.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\AMC4LPDI\\Chaudhary et al. - 2018 - Breaking bad news in the Emergency Department Une.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{galafassi_raising_2018,
	series = {Sustainability governance and transformation 2018},
	title = {‘{Raising} the temperature’: the arts in a warming planet},
	volume = {31},
	issn = {1877-3435},
	shorttitle = {‘{Raising} the temperature’},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877343517300714},
	doi = {10.1016/j.cosust.2017.12.010},
	abstract = {The search for decisive actions to remain below 1.5°C of global temperature rise will require profound cultural transformations. Yet our knowledge of how to promote and bring about such deep transformative changes in the minds and behaviours of individuals and societies is still limited. As climate change unravels and the planet becomes increasingly connected, societies will need to articulate a shared purpose that is both engaging and respectful of cultural diversity. Thus, there is a growing need to ‘raise the temperature’ of integration between multiple ways of knowing climate change. We have reviewed a range of literatures and synthesized them in order to draw out the perceived role of the arts in fostering climate transformations. Our analysis of climate-related art projects and initiatives shows increased engagement in recent years, particularly with the narrative, visual and performing arts. The arts are moving beyond raising awareness and entering the terrain of interdisciplinarity and knowledge co-creation. We conclude that climate-arts can contribute positively in fostering the imagination and emotional predisposition for the development and implementation of the transformations necessary to address the 1.5°C challenge.},
	urldate = {2018-02-22},
	journal = {Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability},
	author = {Galafassi, Diego and Kagan, Sacha and Milkoreit, Manjana and Heras, María and Bilodeau, Chantal and Bourke, Sadhbh Juarez and Merrie, Andrew and Guerrero, Leonie and Pétursdóttir, Guðrún and Tàbara, Joan David},
	month = apr,
	year = {2018},
	keywords = {transformation, collapse, sociology},
	pages = {71--79},
	file = {Galafassi et al. - 2018 - ‘Raising the temperature’ the arts in a warming p.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\JTDUM4S4\\Galafassi et al. - 2018 - ‘Raising the temperature’ the arts in a warming p.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{taubert_global_2018,
	title = {Global patterns of tropical forest fragmentation},
	copyright = {2018 Nature Publishing Group},
	issn = {1476-4687},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/nature25508},
	doi = {10.1038/nature25508},
	abstract = {Remote sensing enables the quantification of tropical deforestation with high spatial resolution1,2. This in-depth mapping has led to substantial advances in the analysis of continent-wide fragmentation of tropical forests1,2,3,4. Here we identified approximately 130 million forest fragments in three continents that show surprisingly similar power-law size and perimeter distributions as well as fractal dimensions. Power-law distributions5,6,7 have been observed in many natural phenomena8,9 such as wildfires, landslides and earthquakes. The principles of percolation theory7,10,11 provide one explanation for the observed patterns, and suggest that forest fragmentation is close to the critical point of percolation; simulation modelling also supports this hypothesis. The observed patterns emerge not only from random deforestation, which can be described by percolation theory10,11, but also from a wide range of deforestation and forest-recovery regimes. Our models predict that additional forest loss will result in a large increase in the total number of forest fragments—at maximum by a factor of 33 over 50 years—as well as a decrease in their size, and that these consequences could be partly mitigated by reforestation and forest protection.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2018-02-21},
	journal = {Nature},
	author = {Taubert, Franziska and Fischer, Rico and Groeneveld, Jürgen and Lehmann, Sebastian and Müller, Michael S. and Rödig, Edna and Wiegand, Thorsten and Huth, Andreas},
	month = feb,
	year = {2018},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, forests},
	file = {Taubert et al. - 2018 - Global patterns of tropical forest fragmentation.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\E265K8GC\\Taubert et al. - 2018 - Global patterns of tropical forest fragmentation.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{shah_transmission_2017,
	title = {Transmission of {Extensively} {Drug}-{Resistant} {Tuberculosis} in {South} {Africa}},
	volume = {376},
	issn = {0028-4793, 1533-4406},
	url = {http://www.nejm.org/doi/10.1056/NEJMoa1604544},
	doi = {10.1056/NEJMoa1604544},
	abstract = {Drug-resistant tuberculosis threatens recent gains in the treatment of tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection worldwide. A widespread epidemic of extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis is occurring in South Africa, where cases have increased substantially since 2002. The factors driving this rapid increase have not been fully elucidated, but such knowledge is needed to guide public health interventions.

The majority of cases of XDR tuberculosis in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa, an area with a high tuberculosis burden, were probably due to transmission rather than to inadequate treatment of MDR tuberculosis. These data suggest that control of the epidemic of drug-resistant tuberculosis requires an increased focus on interrupting transmission. (Funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and others.)},
	language = {en},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2017-01-21},
	journal = {New England Journal of Medicine},
	author = {Shah, N. Sarita and Auld, Sara C. and Brust, James C.M. and Mathema, Barun and Ismail, Nazir and Moodley, Pravi and Mlisana, Koleka and Allana, Salim and Campbell, Angela and Mthiyane, Thuli and Morris, Natashia and Mpangase, Primrose and van der Meulen, Hermina and Omar, Shaheed V. and Brown, Tyler S. and Narechania, Apurva and Shaskina, Elena and Kapwata, Thandi and Kreiswirth, Barry and Gandhi, Neel R.},
	month = jan,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00047},
	keywords = {collapse, health-epidemics-pandemics},
	pages = {243--253},
	file = {Shah et al. - 2017 - Transmission of Extensively Drug-Resistant Tubercu.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\NFUFNTCK\\Shah et al. - 2017 - Transmission of Extensively Drug-Resistant Tubercu.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{roman_coupled_2017,
	title = {Coupled {Societies} are {More} {Robust} {Against} {Collapse}: {A} {Hypothetical} {Look} at {Easter} {Island}},
	volume = {132},
	issn = {0921-8009},
	shorttitle = {Coupled {Societies} are {More} {Robust} {Against} {Collapse}},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921800916307509},
	doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.11.003},
	abstract = {Inspired by the challenges of environmental change and the resource limitations experienced by modern society, recent decades have seen an increased interest in understanding the collapse of past societies. Modelling efforts so far have focused on single, isolated societies, while multi-patch dynamical models representing networks of coupled socio-environmental systems have received limited attention. We propose a model of societal evolution that describes the dynamics of a population that harvests renewable resources and manufactures products that have positive effects on population growth. Collapse is driven by a critical transition that occurs when the rate of natural resource extraction passes beyond a certain point, for which we present numerical and analytical results. Applying the model to Easter Island gives a good fit to the archaeological record. Subsequently, we investigate what effects emerge from the movement of people, goods, and resources between two societies that share the characteristics of Easter Island. We analyse how diffusive coupling and wealth-driven coupling change the population levels and their distribution across the two societies compared to non-interacting societies. We find that the region of parameter space in which societies can stably survive in the long-term is significantly enlarged when coupling occurs in both social and environmental variables.},
	urldate = {2016-11-28},
	journal = {Ecological Economics},
	author = {Roman, Sabin and Bullock, Seth and Brede, Markus},
	month = feb,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, archaeology-history},
	pages = {264--278},
	file = {Roman et al. - 2017 - Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\ZV3AAU4X\\Roman et al. - 2017 - Coupled Societies are More Robust Against Collapse.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@techreport{cambridge_institute_for_sustainability_leadership_pollination_2017,
	address = {Cambridge, UK},
	title = {The pollination deficit: {Towards} supply chain resilience in the face of pollinator decline},
	url = {https://www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/publications/publication-pdfs/the-pollination-deficit.pdf},
	abstract = {As a society we are increasingly dependent on pollinators. The proportion of
global agricultural production that depends on pollinators has increased fourfold
since 1961. Much of this dependence is linked to wild pollinators. Where
data exists, we are seeing evidence of wild pollinator decline. Over 16 per cent
of vertebrate pollinators are threatened with global extinction, 9 per cent of
wild bee and butterfly species face local extinction and available National Red
Lists show up to 50 per cent of bee species assessed are nationally threatened.
This could pose an unidentified risk – a pollination deficit – in agricultural
supply chains.
This report presents the results of a year-long project aimed at improving the understanding of
pollination risk within private sector supply chains.},
	urldate = {2018-04-13},
	institution = {UNEP-WCMC},
	author = {{Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership} and {Fauna \& Flora International, University of East Anglia} and UNEP-WCMC},
	year = {2017},
	keywords = {collapse, systemic-risks, supply-chains},
	file = {the-pollination-deficit.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\WL8G8G7C\\the-pollination-deficit.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{moya_looking_2017,
	title = {Looking {Back}: {Versions} of the {Post}-{Apocalypse} in {Contemporary} {North}-{American} {Cinema}},
	volume = {41},
	issn = {2471-4364},
	shorttitle = {Looking {Back}},
	url = {http://hdl.handle.net/2027/spo.13761232.0041.102},
	doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3998/fc.13761232.0041.102},
	abstract = {This paper discusses the role of borderlands in I Am Legend (2007), The Road (2009) and The Book of Eli (2010), and the ways in which these dystopic post-apocalyptic films may be understood through the concept of the border, analyzing the negotiations of meaning and representation that take place.},
	number = {1},
	journal = {Film Criticism},
	author = {Moya, Ana; López},
	month = feb,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology, storytelling},
	file = {Moya - 2017 - Looking Back Versions of the Post-Apocalypse in C.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\EFZTT8B4\\Moya - 2017 - Looking Back Versions of the Post-Apocalypse in C.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{chowdhury_key_2017,
	title = {Key sustainability challenges for the global phosphorus resource, their implications for global food security, and options for mitigation},
	volume = {140},
	issn = {09596526},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959652616309003},
	doi = {10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.07.012},
	abstract = {Global food security is a priority for the future development agenda of the United Nations. Given the high dependence of the modern global food production system on the continuous supply of commercial phosphorus (P) fertilizers, the goal of achieving global food security could be hampered by any form of paucity of the global P resource. P is a finite, non-substitutable, non-renewable, and geographically restricted resource. The anthropogenic influences on this critical resource are likely to pose a number of challenges to its sustainability. Based on an in-depth and systematic review of recently published literature, this study presents a detailed, methodical, and up to date assessment of the key sustainability challenges for the global P resource, and highlights their implications for global food security. The assessment indicates that the demand for P fertilizer to produce enough food for the growing global population will substantially increase by the middle of this century. There are also significant discrepancies in estimates of the lifetime of global phosphate rock (the main source of chemical P fertilizer) reserves that range from a few hundred to a thousand years; however, as global reserves deplete, exploitation of, and exploration for, resources will replenish reserves although the global P resource is finite. The signs of geopolitical constraints regarding phosphate rock reserves are already evident, and are likely to be more intense in future. The combined impact of increasing demand, dwindling reserves, and geopolitical constraints could result in a substantial decline in the production and supply of chemical P fertilizer in the global market and lead to an increased P price, and this situation may eventually restrict the access of farmers of many countries to P fertilizers for food production. Moreover, there is evidence of significant P wastage and loss as well as high discharge to water bodies from various systems at different geographical scales. The wastage and loss of P in this manner, if not checked, will not only increase the global demand for P but also result in the increased depletion of global phosphate rock reserves. On the other hand, the continuing high discharge of P to water bodies will accelerate harmful processes such as algal bloom, hypoxia and eutrophication that deplete fish and other aquatic foods, the signs of which are already apparent, and may cause irreparable damage to aquatic ecosystems. Shortage in supply of fish and sea foods in turn will restrict the access of many people to a protein based diet, and eventually result in hunger and malnutrition; however, this important fact is often overlooked while addressing the significance of sustainable P management for global food security. We recommend that any policy at the international, national, and local levels that aims to achieve food security and to protect aquatic ecosystems should incorporate measures to address the key sustainability challenges for the global P resource. An overview of the recent advances in the knowledge of sustainable P management strategies as presented in this study could be effectively utilized to mitigate these challenges for achieving global phosphorus security, food security, and environmental sustainability.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2016-11-27},
	journal = {Journal of Cleaner Production},
	author = {Chowdhury, Rubel Biswas and Moore, Graham A. and Weatherley, Anthony J. and Arora, Meenakshi},
	month = jan,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00002},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, phosphorus},
	pages = {945--963},
	file = {Chowdhury et al. - 2017 - Key sustainability challenges for the global phosp.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\8W5P685E\\Chowdhury et al. - 2017 - Key sustainability challenges for the global phosp.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{longhofer_decoupling_2017,
	title = {Decoupling reconsidered: {Does} world society integration influence the relationship between the environment and economic development?},
	volume = {65},
	issn = {0049-089X},
	shorttitle = {Decoupling reconsidered},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0049089X16304094},
	doi = {10.1016/j.ssresearch.2017.02.002},
	abstract = {This study advances scholarship on environment and development by examining whether nations more embedded in the pro-environmental world society are more or less likely to experience a relative decoupling between economic development and carbon emissions over time. The authors calculate a network centrality measure using national-level membership data on environmental international nongovernmental organizations (INGOs), and then employ the measure to create four subsamples of nations that are relatively more or less integrated in the environmental world society. The authors use interactions between measures of economic development and time in two-way fixed effects models to estimate the potentially changing effects of development on carbon emissions for the four subsamples of nations from 1970 to 2009. Results indicate that nations that are the most embedded in the environmental world society experienced a moderate decrease through time in the effect of development on carbon emissions, while the effect of development on emissions increased through time in the most peripheral nations.},
	urldate = {2018-02-23},
	journal = {Social Science Research},
	author = {Longhofer, Wesley and Jorgenson, Andrew},
	month = jul,
	year = {2017},
	keywords = {collapse, decoupling},
	pages = {17--29},
	file = {Longhofer and Jorgenson - 2017 - Decoupling reconsidered Does world society integr.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\TP9XH6FP\\Longhofer and Jorgenson - 2017 - Decoupling reconsidered Does world society integr.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{cheng_improved_2017,
	title = {Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960 to 2015},
	volume = {3},
	copyright = {Copyright © 2017, The Authors. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license, which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.},
	issn = {2375-2548},
	url = {http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/3/e1601545},
	doi = {10.1126/sciadv.1601545},
	abstract = {Earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) drives the ongoing global warming and can best be assessed across the historical record (that is, since 1960) from ocean heat content (OHC) changes. An accurate assessment of OHC is a challenge, mainly because of insufficient and irregular data coverage. We provide updated OHC estimates with the goal of minimizing associated sampling error. We performed a subsample test, in which subsets of data during the data-rich Argo era are colocated with locations of earlier ocean observations, to quantify this error. Our results provide a new OHC estimate with an unbiased mean sampling error and with variability on decadal and multidecadal time scales (signal) that can be reliably distinguished from sampling error (noise) with signal-to-noise ratios higher than 3. The inferred integrated EEI is greater than that reported in previous assessments and is consistent with a reconstruction of the radiative imbalance at the top of atmosphere starting in 1985. We found that changes in OHC are relatively small before about 1980; since then, OHC has increased fairly steadily and, since 1990, has increasingly involved deeper layers of the ocean. In addition, OHC changes in six major oceans are reliable on decadal time scales. All ocean basins examined have experienced significant warming since 1998, with the greatest warming in the southern oceans, the tropical/subtropical Pacific Ocean, and the tropical/subtropical Atlantic Ocean. This new look at OHC and EEI changes over time provides greater confidence than previously possible, and the data sets produced are a valuable resource for further study.
A new assessment of how much heat Earth has accumulated since 1960 is made by examining ocean heat content changes.
A new assessment of how much heat Earth has accumulated since 1960 is made by examining ocean heat content changes.},
	language = {en},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2017-03-12},
	journal = {Science Advances},
	author = {Cheng, Lijing and Trenberth, Kevin E. and Fasullo, John and Boyer, Tim and Abraham, John and Zhu, Jiang},
	month = mar,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, climate, oceans},
	pages = {e1601545},
	file = {Cheng et al. - 2017 - Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\QX3CU3TI\\Cheng et al. - 2017 - Improved estimates of ocean heat content from 1960.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{hall_will_2017,
	title = {Will {EROI} be the {Primary} {Determinant} of {Our} {Economic} {Future}? {The} {View} of the {Natural} {Scientist} versus the {Economist}},
	issn = {25424351},
	shorttitle = {Will {EROI} be the {Primary} {Determinant} of {Our} {Economic} {Future}?},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2542435117300831},
	doi = {10.1016/j.joule.2017.09.010},
	abstract = {harlesA.S.HallisaSystemsEcologist
who received his PhD under Howard T.
Odum at the University of North Car-
olina at Chapel Hill in 1970. He was pro-
fessor over the past 45 years at Cornell
University, the University of Montana,
and the College of Environmental Sci-
ence and Forestry of the State Univer-
sity of New York. He is now retired
(but very active as Professor Emeritus)
in Western Montana. Dr. Hall is the
author or editor of 14 books and 300
scholarly  articles  and  has  been
awarded the distinguished Hubbert-
Simmons Prize for Energy Education
and the Lifetime Achievement Award
from  the  International  Society  of
BioPhysical  Economics.  He  is  best
known for his development of the
concept of EROI, or energy return
on investment, which is an examination
of how organisms, including humans,
invest  energy  into  obtaining  addi-
tional energy to improve biotic or social
fitness, and also a new field, BioPhysical
Economics, as a supplement or alterna-
tive to conventional economics. He has
appliedsystemsandEROIthinkingtoa
broad series of biological, resource,
and economic issues in more than 30
countries. His most recent books are
Energy and the Wealth of Nations: An
Introduction to BioPhysical Economics
(with Kent Klitgaard),
America’s Most
Sustainable Cities and Regions
(with
John Day), and
Energy Return on In-
vestment.  A  unifying  Principle  for
Biology, Economics and Sustainability
,
all available from Springer. He is coed-
itor with Ugo Bardi and Gae
 ̈
lGiraudof
the journal
BioPhysical Economics and
Resource Quality
.
Two philoso},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2017-10-21},
	journal = {Joule},
	author = {Hall, Charles A.S.},
	month = oct,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, energy, EROI, limits},
	file = {Hall - 2017 - Will EROI be the Primary Determinant of Our Econom.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\TJ949J39\\Hall - 2017 - Will EROI be the Primary Determinant of Our Econom.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{badger_efficient_2017,
	title = {Efficient large-scale wind turbine deployment can meet global electricity generation needs},
	volume = {114},
	issn = {0027-8424, 1091-6490},
	url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/114/43/E8945},
	doi = {10.1073/pnas.1708350114},
	abstract = {National Academy of Sciences},
	language = {en},
	number = {43},
	urldate = {2017-11-11},
	journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Badger, Jake and Volker, Patrick J. H.},
	month = oct,
	year = {2017},
	pmid = {29073086},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, renewables},
	pages = {E8945--E8945},
	file = {Badger and Volker - 2017 - Efficient large-scale wind turbine deployment can .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\NJF6J26J\\Badger and Volker - 2017 - Efficient large-scale wind turbine deployment can .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@book{storey_rome_2017,
	title = {Rome and the classic maya: {Comparing} the slow collapse of civilizations},
	isbn = {doi 10.4324/9781315309415},
	shorttitle = {Rome and the classic maya},
	url = {https://www.routledge.com/Rome-and-the-Classic-Maya-Comparing-the-Slow-Collapse-of-Civilizations/Storey-Storey/p/book/9781629584577},
	abstract = {This volume compares two of the most famous cases of civilizational collapse, that of the Roman Empire and the Classic Maya world. First examining the concept of collapse, and how it has been utilized in the historical, archaeological, and anthropological study of past complex societies, Storey and Storey draw on extensive archaeological evidence to consider the ultimate failure of the institutions, infrastructure, and material culture of both of these complex cultures. Detailing the relevant economic, political, social, and environmental factors behind these notable falls, Rome and the Classic Maya contends that a phenomenon of “slow collapse” has repeatedly occurred in the course of human history: Complex civilizations are shown to eventually come to an end and give way to new cultures. Through their analysis of these two ancient case studies, the authors also present intriguing parallels to the modern world and offer potential lessons for the future.},
	publisher = {Routledge},
	author = {Storey, R and Storey, G.R.},
	month = jan,
	year = {2017},
	keywords = {archaeology-history, collapse}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{missirian_asylum_2017-1,
	title = {Asylum {Applications} and {Migration} {Flows}},
	volume = {107},
	issn = {0002-8282},
	url = {http://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aer.p20171051},
	doi = {10.1257/aer.p20171051},
	language = {en},
	number = {5},
	urldate = {2018-01-09},
	journal = {American Economic Review},
	author = {Missirian, Anouch and Schlenker, Wolfram},
	month = may,
	year = {2017},
	keywords = {collapse, migrations},
	pages = {436--440},
	file = {Missirian and Schlenker - 2017 - Asylum Applications and Migration Flows.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\DXB7VPVS\\Missirian and Schlenker - 2017 - Asylum Applications and Migration Flows.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{kang_i_2017,
	title = {I {Would} {Not} {Plant} {Apple} {Trees} {If} the {World} {Will} {Be} {Wiped}: {Analyzing} {Hundreds} of {Millions} of {Behavioral} {Records} of {Players} {During} an {MMORPG} {Beta} {Test}},
	shorttitle = {I {Would} {Not} {Plant} {Apple} {Trees} {If} the {World} {Will} {Be} {Wiped}},
	url = {http://arxiv.org/abs/1703.01500},
	doi = {10.1145/3038912.3038914},
	abstract = {In this work, we use player behavior during the closed beta test of the MMORPG ArcheAge as a proxy for an extreme situation: at the end of the closed beta test, all user data is deleted, and thus, the outcome (or penalty) of players' in-game behaviors in the last few days loses its meaning. We analyzed 270 million records of player behavior in the 4th closed beta test of ArcheAge. Our findings show that there are no apparent pandemic behavior changes, but some outliers were more likely to exhibit anti-social behavior (e.g., player killing). We also found that contrary to the reassuring adage that "Even if I knew the world would go to pieces tomorrow, I would still plant my apple tree," players abandoned character progression, showing a drastic decrease in quest completion, leveling, and ability changes at the end of the beta test.},
	urldate = {2017-05-16},
	journal = {arXiv:1703.01500 [physics]},
	author = {Kang, Ah Reum and Blackburn, Jeremy and Kwak, Haewoon and Kim, Huy Kang},
	month = mar,
	year = {2017},
	note = {00000 
arXiv: 1703.01500},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology},
	file = {Kang et al. - 2017 - I Would Not Plant Apple Trees If the World Will Be.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\CKB8IIDF\\Kang et al. - 2017 - I Would Not Plant Apple Trees If the World Will Be.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@book{carmalt_economics_2017,
	address = {Cham},
	series = {{SpringerBriefs} in {Energy}},
	title = {The {Economics} of {Oil}},
	isbn = {978-3-319-47817-3 978-3-319-47819-7},
	url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-47819-7},
	abstract = {1  Introduction

2  Oil Company Finances
2.1   How Oil Companies Make Investment Decisions
2.2   Who Owns the Resource?
2.3   Seismic Surveys: Assessing the Resource
2.4   Drilling a Well
2.5   How Much Will All This Cost? Will the Company Make Money?
2.6   Financial Metrics
2.7   More Complex Projects
2.8   Government Policy Impacts
2.9   Additional Financial Considerations
2.10  Combining Prospects into Programs
2.11  Finding Oil: A Risky Business
2.12  Gambler's Ruin
2.13  Selection of Projects

3  Some Basics of Petroleum Geology
3.1   Conventional Oil and Natural Gas Formation
3.2   A Brief Excursion Through the “Unconventional” Alternative Sources of Oil
3.2.1   Conventional Unconventional Oil Accumulations
3.2.2   Tight Oil and Tight Gas
3.2.3   Other Unconventional Oil
3.3   Non-oil Energy Options
3.3.1   Natural Gas
3.3.2   Coal
3.3.3   Nuclear
3.3.4   Hydroelectric
3.3.5 “ Renewables” 

4  Peak Oil
4.1   Hubbert’s Predictions of Oil Supply
4.2   Campbell’s Predictions of Oil Supply
4.3   Supply Peaks Versus Demand Peaks
4.4   Definitions in the Peak Oil Analysis

5  Energy in the Economy
5.1   Some Basic Thermodynamics
5.2   Energy Systems
5.3   Ecologic Systems
5.4   Measuring the Economy
5.5   Energy and the Economy
5.6   Net Energy and EROI
5.7   Economics of Future Energy

6  Oil’s Future Role in the Economy
6.1   Changes in Transportation
6.2   Additional Financial Disincentives to Transition
6.3   The Global Energy Transition Situation
6.4   The Global Economic Transition

7  Political Issues
7.1   Taxes and Subsidies
7.2   Market Stability
7.3   Geographical Issues
7.4   Climate Change

8  Forecasting Natural Gas and Oil Production and Use
8.1   Harsh New Environments
8.2   Tar Sands
8.3   Tight Oil
8.4   Natural Gas
8.5   The Changing Nature of Energy Markets

9 “Muddling Through”},
	urldate = {2017-02-10},
	publisher = {Springer International Publishing},
	author = {Carmalt, S.W.},
	year = {2017},
	doi = {10.1007/978-3-319-47819-7},
	note = {00000 },
	keywords = {energy, economics, limits, collapse, oil, fossil},
	file = {Carmalt - 2017 - The Economics of Oil.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\W5ZBWNUH\\Carmalt - 2017 - The Economics of Oil.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@incollection{thompson_spectres_2017,
	series = {Building a {Sustainable} {Political} {Economy}: {SPERI} {Research} \& {Policy}},
	title = {The {Spectres} of {Peak} {Conventional} {Oil} and {Stagflation}},
	isbn = {978-3-319-52508-2 978-3-319-52509-9},
	url = {https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-52509-9_2},
	abstract = {From 2001 to mid-2008 the price of oil rose from around \$25 a barrel to around \$150. This escalation of oil prices reflected both new demand in a world where the Chinese and Indian economies were enjoying high levels of growth and the apparent stagnation of conventional oil production from 2005. The ensuing difficulties of high-cost oil were exacerbated by the weakness of the dollar in a world in which the US in the first half of the decade had turned to China as a structural creditor and by increased volatility in oil markets as those markets became increasingly subject to speculative capital flows. The consequence of these pressures was a cumulative set of macro-economic and geo-political difficulties for western states. These macro-economic difficulties were central to the recessions that began in western economies in 2007–08 even whilst central banks focused as much attention on the inflationary pressure the oil price rise created. Meanwhile the geo-political difficulties left the US increasingly unable to exercise influence in the Middle East where the majority of the world’s conventional oil supply remained. In this sense the 2008 economic crisis was much more than a crisis generated by western financial sectors. It was also a crisis arising from the resource basis of western economies.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2017-11-13},
	booktitle = {Oil and the {Western} {Economic} {Crisis}},
	publisher = {Palgrave Macmillan, Cham},
	author = {Thompson, Helen},
	year = {2017},
	doi = {10.1007/978-3-319-52509-9_2},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, oil, fossil},
	pages = {9--45},
	file = {Thompson - 2017 - The Spectres of Peak Conventional Oil and Stagflat.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\WDH27MHT\\Thompson - 2017 - The Spectres of Peak Conventional Oil and Stagflat.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{torres_looming_2017,
	title = {A looming tragedy of the sand commons},
	volume = {357},
	copyright = {Copyright © 2017 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. http://www.sciencemag.org/about/science-licenses-journal-article-reuseThis is an article distributed under the terms of the Science Journals Default License.},
	issn = {0036-8075, 1095-9203},
	url = {http://science.sciencemag.org/content/357/6355/970},
	doi = {10.1126/science.aao0503},
	abstract = {Between 1900 and 2010, the global volume of natural resources used in buildings and transport infrastructure increased 23-fold (1). Sand and gravel are the largest portion of these primary material inputs (79\% or 28.6 gigatons per year in 2010) and are the most extracted group of materials worldwide, exceeding fossil fuels and biomass (2). In most regions, sand is a common-pool resource, i.e., a resource that is open to all because access can be limited only at high cost. Because of the difficulty in regulating their consumption, common-pool resources are prone to tragedies of the commons as people may selfishly extract them without considering long-term consequences, eventually leading to overexploitation or degradation. Even when sand mining is regulated, it is often subject to rampant illegal extraction and trade (3). As a result, sand scarcity (4) is an emerging issue with major sociopolitical, economic, and environmental implications.
Increasing sand extraction, trade, and consumption pose global sustainability challenges
Increasing sand extraction, trade, and consumption pose global sustainability challenges},
	language = {en},
	number = {6355},
	urldate = {2017-10-10},
	journal = {Science},
	author = {Torres, Aurora and Brandt, Jodi and Lear, Kristen and Liu, Jianguo},
	month = sep,
	year = {2017},
	pmid = {28883058},
	note = {00000 },
	keywords = {collapse, limits, minerals, sand},
	pages = {970--971},
	file = {Torres et al. - 2017 - A looming tragedy of the sand commons.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\7WZJSKUU\\Torres et al. - 2017 - A looming tragedy of the sand commons.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{briggs_emergence_2017,
	title = {Emergence of a sixth mass extinction?},
	volume = {122},
	issn = {0024-4066},
	url = {https://academic.oup.com/biolinnean/article/122/2/243/3869095},
	doi = {10.1093/biolinnean/blx063},
	abstract = {Recently, two articles were published in leading scientific journals, each calling attention to an emerging mass extinction. The two are complementary in that they reached the same conclusion by using data from contrasting environments. But, the important question in each case is, can the beginning of a mass extinction be confidently predicted from the evidence presented? The two articles are the latest of several publications that have stated the Earth is in the beginning of a great extinction episode that will eventually result in the loss of at about 75\% of all living species. The most recent extinction of this magnitude occurred at the close of the Cretaceous about 65 million years ago. The new mass extinction prognosis began about 22 years ago and was based on estimates of species extinction, due to human activities, that had reached thousands of species per year. Although such unsupported estimates soon gave way to more realistic approximations based on documented records, the spectre of a mass extinction has remained. However, I have found evidence that human-caused extinctions have amounted to only about 1.5 species per year for the last 500 years and that these losses have probably been equalled or surpassed by species born (speciation) during that time. Without evidence of substantial net species loss, mass extinction becomes a speculation without substance. The world’s greatest conservation problem is not species extinction but population decline to the point where many species exist only as remnants of their former abundance.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2017-11-11},
	journal = {Biological Journal of the Linnean Society},
	author = {Briggs, John C.},
	month = oct,
	year = {2017},
	keywords = {biodiversity, boundaries, collapse},
	pages = {243--248},
	file = {Briggs - 2017 - Emergence of a sixth mass extinction.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\YEGRZMAC\\Briggs - 2017 - Emergence of a sixth mass extinction.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{demenocal_human_2016,
	title = {Human migration: {Climate} and the peopling of the world},
	issn = {0028-0836, 1476-4687},
	shorttitle = {Human migration},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/doifinder/10.1038/nature19471},
	doi = {10.1038/nature19471},
	abstract = {The human dispersal out of Africa that populated the world was probably paced by climate changes. This is the inference drawn from computer modelling of climate variability during the time of early human migration.},
	urldate = {2016-12-26},
	journal = {Nature},
	author = {deMenocal, Peter B. and Stringer, Chris},
	month = sep,
	year = {2016},
	keywords = {collapse, climate, demographics, migrations},
	file = {deMenocal and Stringer - 2016 - Human migration Climate and the peopling of the w.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\E6W8GP5P\\deMenocal and Stringer - 2016 - Human migration Climate and the peopling of the w.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{de_jong_early_2016,
	title = {An {Early} {Warning} {Tool} for {Measuring} the {Build}-{Up} of {Systemic} {Risks} in {Banks} and {Financial} {Systems}},
	url = {http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2780718},
	abstract = {This paper develops, analyses and implements an early warning tool for systemic risk in banks and financial entities. The tool is based on a refined approach to stress testing. Calculations performed on Australian bank data are shown to predict past distress. Risk is measured as a function of expected capital shortfall in individual firms. A simple model of regulatory capital is assumed. Systemic risk is shown to be driven by the size and leverage of balance sheets and interdependence between firms. Firm balance sheets are modelled using publicly available information and assumed to depend on market returns. Model refinements using more comprehensive information and practical implementation are also discussed.},
	number = {109},
	urldate = {2016-12-14},
	journal = {CIFR Paper},
	author = {De Jong, Piet and Choo, Weihao and Loudon, Geoffrey},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {finance, collapse, early-warning-signals, systemic-risks},
	file = {De Jong et al. - 2016 - An Early Warning Tool for Measuring the Build-Up o.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\BCV62SD8\\De Jong et al. - 2016 - An Early Warning Tool for Measuring the Build-Up o.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@book{kurin_bioarchaeology_2016,
	address = {Cham},
	title = {The {Bioarchaeology} of {Societal} {Collapse} and {Regeneration} in {Ancient} {Peru}},
	isbn = {978-3-319-28402-6 978-3-319-28404-0},
	url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-28404-0},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2016-08-22},
	publisher = {Springer International Publishing},
	author = {Kurin, Danielle Shawn},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, archaeology-history},
	file = {Kurin - 2016 - The Bioarchaeology of Societal Collapse and Regene.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\72DCIRVV\\Kurin - 2016 - The Bioarchaeology of Societal Collapse and Regene.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{dzhumashev_growth_2016,
	title = {Growth with backstop resources: {The} role of population and habitat},
	shorttitle = {Growth with backstop resources},
	url = {http://business.monash.edu/__data/assets/pdf_file/0011/674768/Growth-with-Backstop-Resources-The-Role-of-Population-and-Habitat.pdf},
	abstract = {This paper analyses the joint effect of resources, population, and habitat constraints on long-run growth. It shows that the sustainability of growth obtained in the existing literature is not immune to extensions such as backstop resources with an upper bound and population growth.   Specifically,  under such a setting, both per capita income and population are bounded due to the Malthusian trap caused by resource scarcity.   Only by accounting for the interaction between habitat and production, as well as habitat and fertility, can one show the feasibility of sustainable growth.  The paper demonstrates that under these conditions, the population converges to a constant level in the long run and its growth becomes independent of income. On the other hand, due to habitat constraints, population growth may follow a non-monotonic path with a decline before reaching the stationary level. The only way to ameliorate such a decline is to promote ’green’ technologies and policies that allow for growth with lesser pollution},
	urldate = {2017-01-14},
	author = {Dzhumashev, Ratbek and Kazakevitch, Gennadi},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, demographics},
	file = {Dzhumashev and Kazakevitch - 2016 - Growth with backstop resources The role of popula.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\S5XEHZVT\\Dzhumashev and Kazakevitch - 2016 - Growth with backstop resources The role of popula.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{zeebe_anthropogenic_2016,
	title = {Anthropogenic carbon release rate unprecedented during the past 66 million years},
	volume = {9},
	copyright = {© 2016 Nature Publishing Group},
	issn = {1752-0894},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v9/n4/pdf/ngeo2681.pdf},
	doi = {10.1038/ngeo2681},
	abstract = {Carbon release rates from anthropogenic sources reached a record high of {\textasciitilde}10 Pg C yr−1 in 2014. Geologic analogues from past transient climate changes could provide invaluable constraints on the response of the climate system to such perturbations, but only if the associated carbon release rates can be reliably reconstructed. The Palaeocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) is known at present to have the highest carbon release rates of the past 66 million years, but robust estimates of the initial rate and onset duration are hindered by uncertainties in age models. Here we introduce a new method to extract rates of change from a sedimentary record based on the relative timing of climate and carbon cycle changes, without the need for an age model. We apply this method to stable carbon and oxygen isotope records from the New Jersey shelf using time-series analysis and carbon cycle–climate modelling. We calculate that the initial carbon release during the onset of the PETM occurred over at least 4,000 years. This constrains the maximum sustained PETM carbon release rate to less than 1.1 Pg C yr−1. We conclude that, given currently available records, the present anthropogenic carbon release rate is unprecedented during the past 66 million years. We suggest that such a ‘no-analogue’ state represents a fundamental challenge in constraining future climate projections. Also, future ecosystem disruptions are likely to exceed the relatively limited extinctions observed at the PETM.},
	language = {en},
	number = {4},
	urldate = {2016-12-07},
	journal = {Nature Geoscience},
	author = {Zeebe, Richard E. and Ridgwell, Andy and Zachos, James C.},
	month = apr,
	year = {2016},
	note = {00014},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, climate, 4°C-and-beyond},
	pages = {325--329},
	file = {Zeebe et al. - 2016 - Anthropogenic carbon release rate unprecedented du.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\NJ84UND6\\Zeebe et al. - 2016 - Anthropogenic carbon release rate unprecedented du.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{seto_carbon_2016,
	title = {Carbon {Lock}-{In}: {Types}, {Causes}, and {Policy} {Implications}},
	volume = {41},
	issn = {1543-5938, 1545-2050},
	shorttitle = {Carbon {Lock}-{In}},
	url = {http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085934},
	doi = {10.1146/annurev-environ-110615-085934},
	abstract = {Existing technologies, institutions, and behavioral norms together act to constrain the rate and magnitude of carbon emissions reductions in the coming decades. The inertia of carbon emissions due to such mutually reinforcing physical, economic, and social constraints is referred to as carbon lock-in. Carbon lock-in is a special case of path dependency, which is common in the evolution of complex systems. However, carbon lock-in is particularly prone to entrenchment given the large capital costs, long infrastructure lifetimes, and interrelationships between the socioeconomic and technical systems involved. Further, the urgency of efforts to avoid dangerous climate change exacerbates the liability of even small lock-in risks. Although carbon lock-in has been recognized for years, efforts to characterize the types and causes of carbon lock-in, or to quantitatively assess and evaluate its policy implications, have been limited and scattered across a number of different disciplines. This systematic review of the literature synthesizes what is known about the types and causes of carbon lock-in, including the scale, magnitude, and longevity of the effects, and policy implications. We identify three main types of carbon lock-in and describe how they coevolve: (a) infrastructural and technological, (b) institutional, and (c) behavioral. Although each type of lock-in has its own set of processes, all three are tightly intertwined and contribute to the inertia of carbon emissions. We outline the conditions, opportunities, and strategies for fostering transitions toward less-carbon-intensive emissions trajectories. We conclude by proposing a carbon lock-in research agenda that can help bridge the gaps between science, knowledge, and policy-making.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2016-12-16},
	journal = {Annual Review of Environment and Resources},
	author = {Seto, Karen C. and Davis, Steven J. and Mitchell, Ronald B. and Stokes, Eleanor C. and Unruh, Gregory and Ürge-Vorsatz, Diana},
	month = oct,
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, lock-in},
	pages = {425--452},
	file = {Seto et al. - 2016 - Carbon Lock-In Types, Causes, and Policy Implicat.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\IFPX4X7Z\\Seto et al. - 2016 - Carbon Lock-In Types, Causes, and Policy Implicat.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{zhao_robustness_2016,
	title = {The robustness of interdependent networks under the interplay between cascading failures and virus propagation},
	volume = {115},
	issn = {0295-5075, 1286-4854},
	url = {http://stacks.iop.org/0295-5075/115/i=5/a=58004?key=crossref.1c56bc87a364fbc6ef754c4bd737bf1b},
	doi = {10.1209/0295-5075/115/58004},
	abstract = {Cascading failures and epidemic dynamics, as two successful application realms of network science, are usually investigated separately. How do they affect each other is still an open, interesting problem. In this letter, we couple both processes and put them into the framework of interdependent networks, where each network only supports one dynamical process. Of particular interest, they spontaneously form a feedback loop: virus propagation triggers cascading failures of systems while cascading failures suppress virus propagation (i.e., the interplay between cascading failures and virus propagation, also named CF-VP model). Under this novel model, the interdependent networks will collapse completely if virus transmissibility exceeds a crucial threshold. In addition, only when the network sustaining the epidemic dynamics has a larger average degree, will the interdependent networks become more vulnerable, which is opposite to the observation of traditional cascading models in interdependent networks. To protect interdependent networks we also propose control measures based on the identification capability: a stronger identification capability leads to more robust interdependent networks.},
	number = {5},
	urldate = {2016-12-17},
	journal = {EPL (Europhysics Letters)},
	author = {Zhao, Dawei and Wang, Zhen and Xiao, Gaoxi and Gao, Bo and Wang, Lianhai},
	month = sep,
	year = {2016},
	note = {00001},
	keywords = {collapse, models, reboot, health-epidemics-pandemics, systemic-risks},
	pages = {58004},
	file = {Zhao et al. - 2016 - The robustness of interdependent networks under th.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\GW6CEIB5\\Zhao et al. - 2016 - The robustness of interdependent networks under th.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@phdthesis{doherty_imagination:_2016,
	title = {The {Imagination}: {A} {Path} to {Personal} and {Planetary} {Individuation}},
	shorttitle = {The {Imagination}},
	url = {http://gradworks.umi.com/10/11/10113369.html},
	urldate = {2016-07-22},
	school = {PACIFICA GRADUATE INSTITUTE},
	author = {Doherty, Ciuin},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology, storytelling},
	file = {Doherty - 2016 - The Imagination A Path to Personal and Planetary .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\CGKJM2P7\\Doherty - 2016 - The Imagination A Path to Personal and Planetary .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{muller_impact_2016,
	title = {Impact of the {Syrian} refugee crisis on land use and transboundary freshwater resources},
	volume = {113},
	url = {http://www.pnas.org/content/113/52/14932.short},
	number = {52},
	urldate = {2016-12-30},
	journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Müller, Marc François and Yoon, Jim and Gorelick, Steven M. and Avisse, Nicolas and Tilmant, Amaury},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, water, migrations, land-use},
	pages = {14932--14937},
	file = {Müller et al. - 2016 - Impact of the Syrian refugee crisis on land use an.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\H4J62WJ5\\Müller et al. - 2016 - Impact of the Syrian refugee crisis on land use an.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@book{hettiarachchi_environmental_2016,
	address = {Cham},
	title = {Environmental {Resource} {Management} and the {Nexus} {Approach}},
	isbn = {978-3-319-28592-4 978-3-319-28593-1},
	url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-3-319-28593-1},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2016-12-26},
	publisher = {Springer International Publishing},
	editor = {Hettiarachchi, Hiroshan and Ardakanian, Reza},
	year = {2016},
	keywords = {collapse, limits-to-growth},
	file = {Hettiarachchi and Ardakanian - 2016 - Environmental Resource Management and the Nexus Ap.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\RFS6VEXB\\Hettiarachchi and Ardakanian - 2016 - Environmental Resource Management and the Nexus Ap.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@techreport{fustier_global_2016,
	title = {Global oil supply: {Will} mature field declines drive the next supply crunch?},
	url = {https://doc-0c-bc-docs.googleusercontent.com/docs/securesc/ha0ro937gcuc7l7deffksulhg5h7mbp1/sdalk1glhop476n1tvrsfa8g7do2g5ag/1483797600000/18378123415698621438/*/0B9wSgViWVAfzUEgzMlBfR3UxNDg?e=download},
	abstract = {Supply constraints seem a distant prospect in the current oil market, but a return to balance in 2017 will leave the World with severely limited spare capacity Meanwhile, near term productivity gains are temporarily masking a steady increase in mature field decline rates which could cut existing capacity by {\textgreater}40mbd ({\textgreater}42\%) by 2040e We think risks of supply constraints will resurface long before risks of global demand peaking, and a steady tightening in the supply/demand balance post-2017 is behind our unchanged USD75/b long-term Brent price assumption},
	urldate = {2017-01-07},
	institution = {HSBC},
	author = {Fustier, Kim and Gray, Gordon and Gundersen, Christoffer and Hilboldt, Thomas},
	month = sep,
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, oil},
	file = {Fustier et al. - 2016 - Global oil supply Will mature field declines driv.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\2XAF38D7\\Fustier et al. - 2016 - Global oil supply Will mature field declines driv.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{wiener_tragedy_2016,
	title = {The {Tragedy} of the {Uncommons}: {On} the {Politics} of {Apocalypse}},
	volume = {7},
	copyright = {© 2016 University of Durham and John Wiley \& Sons, Ltd},
	issn = {1758-5899},
	shorttitle = {The {Tragedy} of the {Uncommons}},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1758-5899.12319/abstract},
	doi = {10.1111/1758-5899.12319},
	abstract = {The ‘tragedy of the commons’ is a classic type of problem, involving multiple actors who face individual incentives to deplete shared resources and thereby impose harms on others. Such tragedies can be overcome if societies learn through experience to mobilize collective action. This article formulates a distinct type of problem: ‘the tragedy of the uncommons’, involving the misperception and mismanagement of rare catastrophic risks. Although the problem of rare and global catastrophic risk has been much discussed, its sources and solutions need to be better understood. Descriptively, this article identifies psychological heuristics and political forces that underlie neglect of rare catastrophic ‘uncommons’ risks, notably the unavailability heuristic, mass numbing, and underdeterrence. Normatively, the article argues that, for rare catastrophic risks, it is the inability to learn from experience, rather than uncertainty, that offers the best case for anticipatory precaution. The article suggests a twist on conventional debates: in contrast to salient experienced risks spurring greater public concern than expert concern, rare uncommons risks exhibit greater expert concern than public concern. Further, optimal precaution against uncommons risks requires careful analysis to avoid misplaced priorities and potentially catastrophic risk–risk trade-offs. The article offers new perspectives on expert vs public perceptions of risk; impact assessment and policy analysis; and precaution, policy learning and foresight.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2016-07-22},
	journal = {Global Policy},
	author = {Wiener, Jonathan B.},
	month = may,
	year = {2016},
	note = {00001},
	keywords = {governance, psychology, collapse, politics, denial, philosophy},
	pages = {67--80},
	file = {Wiener - 2016 - The Tragedy of the Uncommons On the Politics of A.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\NBM5SXB7\\Wiener - 2016 - The Tragedy of the Uncommons On the Politics of A.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{ferrando_party_2016,
	title = {The {Party} of the {Anthropocene}: {Post}-humanism, {Environmentalism} and the {Post}-anthropocentric {Paradigm} {Shift}},
	volume = {4},
	shorttitle = {The {Party} of the {Anthropocene}},
	url = {http://www.ledonline.it/index.php/Relations/article/view/1073},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2016-11-25},
	journal = {Relations. Beyond Anthropocentrism},
	author = {Ferrando, Francesca},
	year = {2016},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {anthropocene, governance, collapse, survivalism},
	pages = {159--173},
	file = {Ferrando - 2016 - The Party of the Anthropocene Post-humanism, Envi.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\N5R2AZTZ\\Ferrando - 2016 - The Party of the Anthropocene Post-humanism, Envi.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{jones_conflict_2015,
	title = {Conflict resolution: {Wars} without end},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/polopoly_fs/1.17070!/menu/main/topColumns/topLeftColumn/pdf/519148a.pdf},
	abstract = {The world is full of bloody conflicts that can drag on for decades. Some researchers are trying to find resolutions through complexity science.},
	urldate = {2015-03-17},
	journal = {Nature},
	author = {Jones, Dan},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {violence-conflicts-wars, collapse, geopolitics, systemic-risks},
	file = {Jones - 2015 - Conflict resolution Wars without end.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\37UUZRWX\\Jones - 2015 - Conflict resolution Wars without end.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{rhodes_verge_2015,
	title = {Verge of {Collapse}? {Survival} of {Civilization} in the {Anthropocene}},
	shorttitle = {Verge of {Collapse}?},
	url = {https://ojs.lib.byu.edu/spc/index.php/CCR/article/download/36474/34167},
	number = {72},
	urldate = {2015-07-08},
	journal = {Comparative Civilizations Review},
	author = {Rhodes, Lynn},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {anthropocene, collapse, existential-risks},
	pages = {115--130},
	file = {Rhodes - 2015 - Verge of Collapse Survival of Civilization in the.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\83TWZMA6\\Rhodes - 2015 - Verge of Collapse Survival of Civilization in the.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@misc{turchin_tipology_2015,
	title = {Tipology of extinction risks},
	author = {Turchin, Alexey},
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {collapse, existential-risks},
	file = {Turchin - 2015 - Tipology of extinction risks.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\DCDK9Z9L\\Turchin - 2015 - Tipology of extinction risks.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{regan_global_2015,
	title = {Global {Trends} in the {Status} of {Bird} and {Mammal} {Pollinators}},
	copyright = {Copyright and Photocopying: ©2015 The Authors Conservation Letters published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of Society for Conservation Biology, This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.},
	issn = {1755-263X},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/conl.12162/abstract},
	doi = {10.1111/conl.12162},
	abstract = {Biodiversity is declining, with direct and indirect effects on ecosystem functions and services that are poorly quantified. Here, we develop the first global assessment of trends in pollinators, focusing on pollinating birds and mammals. A Red List Index for these species shows that, overall, pollinating bird and mammal species are deteriorating in status, with more species moving toward extinction than away from it. On average, 2.5 species per year have moved one Red List category toward extinction in recent decades, representing a substantial increase in the extinction risk across this set of species. This may be impacting the delivery of benefits that these species provide to people. We recommend that the index be expanded to include taxonomic groups that contribute more significantly to pollination, such as bees, wasps, and butterflies, thereby giving a more complete picture of the state of pollinating species worldwide.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2015-04-17},
	journal = {Conservation Letters},
	author = {Regan, Eugenie C. and Santini, Luca and Ingwall-King, Lisa and Hoffmann, Michael and Rondinini, Carlo and Symes, Andy and Taylor, Joseph and Butchart, Stuart H.M.},
	month = mar,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {biodiversity, boundaries, collapse},
	pages = {n/a--n/a},
	file = {Regan et al. - 2015 - Global Trends in the Status of Bird and Mammal Pol.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\2AQ5CFXF\\Regan et al. - 2015 - Global Trends in the Status of Bird and Mammal Pol.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{winkelmann_combustion_2015,
	title = {Combustion of available fossil fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the {Antarctic} {Ice} {Sheet}},
	volume = {1},
	issn = {2375-2548},
	url = {http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/8/e1500589},
	doi = {10.1126/sciadv.1500589},
	abstract = {The Antarctic Ice Sheet stores water equivalent to 58 m in global sea-level rise. We show in simulations using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model that burning the currently attainable fossil fuel resources is sufficient to eliminate the ice sheet. With cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice-free with an average contribution to sea-level rise exceeding 3 m per century during the first millennium. Consistent with recent observations and simulations, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet becomes unstable with 600 to 800 GtC of additional carbon emissions. Beyond this additional carbon release, the destabilization of ice basins in both West and East Antarctica results in a threshold increase in global sea level. Unabated carbon emissions thus threaten the Antarctic Ice Sheet in its entirety with associated sea-level rise that far exceeds that of all other possible sources.
Fossil-fuel resources are sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet.
Fossil-fuel resources are sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet.},
	language = {en},
	number = {8},
	urldate = {2015-09-13},
	journal = {Science Advances},
	author = {Winkelmann, Ricarda and Levermann, Anders and Ridgwell, Andy and Caldeira, Ken},
	month = sep,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, climate, unburnable, fossil},
	pages = {e1500589},
	file = {Winkelmann et al. - 2015 - Combustion of available fossil fuel resources suff.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\BZZN4HTW\\Winkelmann et al. - 2015 - Combustion of available fossil fuel resources suff.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@inproceedings{pargman_limits_2015,
	address = {Irvine, California, USA},
	title = {On the {Limits} of {Limits}},
	url = {http://www.limits2015.org/papers/limits2015-pargman.pdf},
	urldate = {2015-06-15},
	author = {Pargman, Daniel},
	month = jun,
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {limits, collapse, philosophy, survivalism},
	file = {Pargman - 2015 - On the Limits of Limits.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\FW2ETTJS\\Pargman - 2015 - On the Limits of Limits.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{fox_love_2015,
	title = {Love {Is} {Stronger} {Than} {Stewardship}: {A} {Cosmic} {Christ} {Path} to {Planetary} {Survival}},
	volume = {30},
	issn = {2164-0041},
	shorttitle = {Love {Is} {Stronger} {Than} {Stewardship}},
	url = {https://muse.jhu.edu/article/578194},
	abstract = {The notion of environmental “stewardship” within Christian theology is a tired old idea. As a theologian I fundamentally disagree with it. Stewardship implies a subject/object relationship with creation. We don’t need such dull relationships in religion’s name.

For decades I have been putting forth a different spiritual basis for an eco-theology: the idea that the “Cosmic Christ” is the light in every being in the universe. In other words, every being in the universe is the image of God. The “Buddha Nature” is a parallel name for this same idea within Buddhism, and this idea also exists at the heart of the Jewish tradition.},
	language = {en},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2018-02-20},
	journal = {Tikkun},
	author = {Fox, Matthew},
	month = apr,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {collapse, philosophy, laudato-si},
	file = {Fox - 2015 - Love Is Stronger Than Stewardship A Cosmic Christ.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\MAALS76N\\Fox - 2015 - Love Is Stronger Than Stewardship A Cosmic Christ.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{butts_geopolitics_2015,
	title = {Geopolitics of {Resource} {Scarcity}},
	volume = {3},
	url = {http://elibrary.law.psu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1092&context=jlia},
	abstract = {Geopolitics refers to the relationship of geographical settings to political processes.1 The diversity and scale of the geography are important variables in the exercise of political power. Resources vary markedly in occurrence, giving rise to global patterns of trade and creating vulnerability to supply cutoff. National leaders should be aware of the occurrence of strategically important resources within their borders, understand which of these are critically important to sustain human and state security, and develop policies to achieve sufficiency from domestic or international sources. This paper addresses resource geopolitics, offers some examples, and provides concepts for reducing import vulnerability in an era of rising resource-focused policies by Russia and China.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2015-03-10},
	journal = {Penn State Journal of Law \& International Affairs},
	author = {Butts, Kent Hughes},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {violence-conflicts-wars, limits, collapse},
	pages = {1},
	file = {Butts - 2015 - Geopolitics of Resource Scarcity.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\TNSWWAGB\\Butts - 2015 - Geopolitics of Resource Scarcity.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{moriarty_future_2015,
	title = {Future cities in a warming world},
	volume = {66},
	issn = {0016-3287},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714002031},
	doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2014.12.009},
	abstract = {More than half the global population are already urban, and the UN and other organisations expect this share to rise in future. However, some researchers argue that the future of cities is far from assured. Cities are not only responsible for 70\% or more of the world's CO2 emissions, but because of their dense concentration of physical assets and populations, are also more vulnerable than other areas to climate change. This paper attempts to resolve this controversy by first looking at how cities would fare in a world with average global surface temperatures 4 °C above pre-industrial levels. It then looks at possible responses, either by mitigation or adaptation, to the threat such increases would entail. Regardless of the mix of adaptation and mitigation cities adopt in response to climate change, the paper argues that peak urbanism will occur over the next few decades. This fall in the urban share of global population will be driven by the rise in biophysical hazards in cities if the response is mainly adaptation, and by the declining attraction of cities (and possibly the rising attraction of rural areas) if serious mitigation is implemented.},
	urldate = {2015-02-24},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Moriarty, Patrick and Honnery, Damon},
	month = feb,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {cities, collapse},
	pages = {45--53},
	file = {Moriarty and Honnery - 2015 - Future cities in a warming world.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\MUW9AITF\\Moriarty and Honnery - 2015 - Future cities in a warming world.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{postmes_psychology:_2015,
	title = {Psychology: {Climate} change and group dynamics},
	volume = {5},
	copyright = {© 2015 Nature Publishing Group, a division of Macmillan Publishers Limited. All Rights Reserved.},
	issn = {1758-678X},
	shorttitle = {Psychology},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n3/full/nclimate2537.html?WT.ec_id=NCLIMATE-201503},
	doi = {10.1038/nclimate2537},
	abstract = {The characteristics and views of people sceptical about climate change have been analysed extensively. A study now confirms that sceptics in the US have some characteristics of a social movement, but shows that the same group dynamics propel believers.},
	language = {en},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2015-02-26},
	journal = {Nature Climate Change},
	author = {Postmes, Tom},
	month = mar,
	year = {2015},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse},
	pages = {195--196},
	file = {Postmes - 2015 - Psychology Climate change and group dynamics.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\H5FZG4HC\\Postmes - 2015 - Psychology Climate change and group dynamics.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@misc{guillaud_faut-il_2015,
	title = {Faut-il prendre l'effondrement au sérieux ?},
	url = {http://internetactu.blog.lemonde.fr/2015/10/17/faut-il-prendre-leffondrement-au-serieux/},
	abstract = {Les scénarios d'avenir énergétiquement vertueux, qui nous proposent de changer de modèle énergétique pour des solutions plus durables à base de solaire, d'éolien, d'hydraulique, de géothermie... (et parfois encore, non sans polémiques, de nucléaire), comme ceux que nous proposent le prospectiviste Jeremy Rifkin (@jeremyrifkin) dans La troisième révolution industrielle (voir notre article "Nous avons à nouveau un futur"), le spécialiste de génie environnemental de Stanford, Mark Jacobson (@mzjacobson), le stimulant rapport (.pdf) de l'Agence de l'environnement et de la maîtrise de l'énergie (Ademe) ou même le scénario Negawatt  sont tous basés sur des déploiements industriels ambitieux en matière d’énergie renouvelable - même si tous évoquent également, d'une manière plus ou moins appuyée, l'exigence à décroître.},
	urldate = {2015-10-18},
	journal = {internetactu.blog.lemonde.fr},
	author = {Guillaud, Hubert},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00005},
	keywords = {collapse, limits-to-growth},
	file = {Guillaud - 2015 - Faut-il prendre l'effondrement au sérieux .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\WP3X2CH7\\Guillaud - 2015 - Faut-il prendre l'effondrement au sérieux .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{warrilow_bumpy_2015,
	title = {A bumpy road to the top: {Statistically} defining a peak in oil production},
	volume = {82},
	issn = {03014215},
	shorttitle = {A bumpy road to the top},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421515001160},
	doi = {10.1016/j.enpol.2015.03.010},
	abstract = {Twenty-four countries where oil production is in decline were identified. A simple metric of the volatility of oil production on the upslope of their production curves, called decline as a proportion of pre-peak production (or PPPmax), was created. PPPmax was determined for the post-peak countries and plotted as a frequency distribution. PPPmax varied from 0–56\%, but was skewed toward the lower part of the range (median 6.2\%). As global production is determined by the total contribution of production from all countries, the variation in PPPmax will represent the lower and upper bound of the “bumpiness” of global oil production. It also enables a retrospective approximation of the when global oil production is most likely past its peak.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2015-06-26},
	journal = {Energy Policy},
	author = {Warrilow, David},
	month = jul,
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, oil, fossil},
	pages = {81--84},
	file = {Warrilow - 2015 - A bumpy road to the top Statistically defining a .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\RMMBJFBU\\Warrilow - 2015 - A bumpy road to the top Statistically defining a .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{boyd_policymakers_2015,
	title = {Policymakers should consider future as well as current lives and address existential risks},
	url = {http://www.otago.ac.nz/wellington/otago086638.pdf},
	urldate = {2015-02-22},
	author = {Boyd, Matthew and Wilson, Nick},
	year = {2015},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {governance, collapse},
	file = {Boyd and Wilson - 2015 - Policymakers should consider future as well as cur.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\B9MWD3Q5\\Boyd and Wilson - 2015 - Policymakers should consider future as well as cur.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{nafeez_us_2014,
	chapter = {Environment},
	title = {{US} {Army} colonel: world is sleepwalking to a global energy crisis},
	issn = {0261-3077},
	shorttitle = {{US} {Army} colonel},
	url = {http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2014/jan/17/peak-oil-oilandgascompanies},
	abstract = {Senior figures from industry, military and politics explore risks of financial chaos, oil depletion and climate catastrophe},
	language = {en-GB},
	urldate = {2014-02-05},
	journal = {The Guardian},
	author = {Nafeez, Ahmed},
	month = feb,
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, gas, oil, fossil},
	file = {Nafeez - 2014 - US Army colonel world is sleepwalking to a global.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\GBWW9SEC\\Nafeez - 2014 - US Army colonel world is sleepwalking to a global.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{bowen_two_2014,
	title = {Two massive, rapid releases of carbon during the onset of the {Palaeocene}–{Eocene} thermal maximum},
	volume = {8},
	issn = {1752-0894, 1752-0908},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/doifinder/10.1038/ngeo2316},
	doi = {10.1038/ngeo2316},
	abstract = {The Earth’s climate abruptly warmed by 5–8 °C during the Palaeocene–Eocene thermal maximum (PETM), about 55.5 million years ago1, 2. This warming was associated with a massive addition of carbon to the ocean–atmosphere system, but estimates of the Earth system response to this perturbation are complicated by widely varying estimates of the duration of carbon release, which range from less than a year to tens of thousands of years. In addition the source of the carbon, and whether it was released as a single injection or in several pulses, remains the subject of debate2, 3, 4. Here we present a new high-resolution carbon isotope record from terrestrial deposits in the Bighorn Basin (Wyoming, USA) spanning the PETM, and interpret the record using a carbon-cycle box model of the ocean–atmosphere–biosphere system. Our record shows that the beginning of the PETM is characterized by not one but two distinct carbon release events, separated by a recovery to background values. To reproduce this pattern, our model requires two discrete pulses of carbon released directly to the atmosphere, at average rates exceeding 0.9 Pg C yr−1, with the first pulse lasting fewer than 2,000 years. We thus conclude that the PETM involved one or more reservoirs capable of repeated, catastrophic carbon release, and that rates of carbon release during the PETM were more similar to those associated with modern anthropogenic emissions5 than previously suggested3, 4},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2016-12-07},
	journal = {Nature Geoscience},
	author = {Bowen, Gabriel J. and Maibauer, Bianca J. and Kraus, Mary J. and Röhl, Ursula and Westerhold, Thomas and Steimke, Amy and Gingerich, Philip D. and Wing, Scott L. and Clyde, William C.},
	month = dec,
	year = {2014},
	note = {00026},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, climate, 4°C-and-beyond},
	pages = {44--47},
	file = {Bowen et al. - 2014 - Two massive, rapid releases of carbon during the o.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\HWZQVQ88\\Bowen et al. - 2014 - Two massive, rapid releases of carbon during the o.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@misc{noauthor_solar_2014,
	type = {Text},
	title = {Solar, peak oil and net energy},
	copyright = {http://abc.net.au/rn/copyright.htm},
	url = {http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/ockhamsrazor/solar-peak-oil-and-net-energy/5612008},
	abstract = {Solar and renewables are being touted as the energy sources of the future, but engineer Graham Palmer argues there’s no easy solution to the fact that we’re running out of fossil fuels.},
	language = {en-AU},
	urldate = {2014-08-04},
	journal = {Radio National},
	month = jul,
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {EROI, energy, limits, collapse, oil, renewables, fossil},
	file = {2014 - Solar, peak oil and net energy.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\97PBRUR7\\2014 - Solar, peak oil and net energy.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{servigne_alors_2014,
	title = {Alors, ça vient ? {Pourquoi} la transition se fait attendre},
	url = {http://www.barricade.be/sites/default/files/publications/pdf/2014_-_pablo_-_alors_ca_vient.pdf},
	journal = {Barricade},
	author = {Servigne, Pablo and Stevens, Raphael},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {collapse, lock-in},
	file = {Servigne and Stevens - 2014 - Alors, ça vient  Pourquoi la transition se fait a.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\PI2MWPE2\\Servigne and Stevens - 2014 - Alors, ça vient  Pourquoi la transition se fait a.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{deaton_inevitable_2014,
	title = {Inevitable inequality?},
	volume = {344},
	issn = {0036-8075, 1095-9203},
	url = {http://www.sciencemag.org/content/344/6186/783},
	doi = {10.1126/science.1255661},
	abstract = {The world is unequal in many dimensions; even life itself is unequally distributed. In the United States and other wealthy nations, only 2 to 6 children out of every 1000 die before age 1, yet there are 25 countries where more than 60 out of 1000 do so. There are 10 countries, all in Africa, where per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) is less than 10\% of U.S per-capita GDP. These gaps are a legacy of the Great Divergence that began 250 years ago, in which sustained progress in health and wealth in Europe spread gradually to the rest of the world. Will such gaps continue to be an inevitable consequence of progress?},
	language = {en},
	number = {6186},
	urldate = {2015-01-09},
	journal = {Science},
	author = {Deaton, Angus},
	month = may,
	year = {2014},
	pmid = {24855227},
	note = {00000 },
	keywords = {inequality, collapse},
	pages = {783--783},
	file = {Deaton - 2014 - Inevitable inequality.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\QECFQEGS\\Deaton - 2014 - Inevitable inequality.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@book{goldin_butterfly_2014,
	address = {New-Jersey, USA},
	title = {The {Butterfly} {Defect}: {How} {Globalization} {Creates} {Systemic} {Risks}, and {What} to {Do} about {It}},
	abstract = {Global hyperconnectivity and increased system integration have led to vast benefits, including worldwide growth in incomes, education, innovation, and technology. But rapid globalization has also created concerns because the repercussions of local events now cascade over national borders and the fallout of financial meltdowns and environmental disasters affects everyone. The Butterfly Defect addresses the widening gap between systemic risks and their effective management. It shows how the new dynamics of turbo-charged globalization has the potential and power to destabilize our societies. Drawing on the latest insights from a wide variety of disciplines, Ian Goldin and Mike Mariathasan provide practical guidance for how governments, businesses, and individuals can better manage risk in our contemporary world. Goldin and Mariathasan assert that the current complexities of globalization will not be sustainable as surprises become more frequent and have widespread impacts. The recent financial crisis exemplifies the new form of systemic risk that will characterize the coming decades, and the authors provide the first framework for understanding how such risk will function in the twenty-first century. Goldin and Mariathasan demonstrate that systemic risk issues are now endemic everywhere--in supply chains, pandemics, infrastructure, ecology and climate change, economics, and politics. Unless we are better able to address these concerns, they will lead to greater protectionism, xenophobia, nationalism, and, inevitably, deglobalization, rising conflict, and slower growth. The Butterfly Defect shows that mitigating uncertainty and systemic risk in an interconnected world is an essential task for our future.},
	language = {English},
	publisher = {Princeton University Press},
	author = {Goldin, Ian and Mariathasan, Mike},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {inequality, governance, collapse, infrastructures, climate, disasters, systemic-risks, supply-chains}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@book{u.s._global_change_research_program_climate_2014,
	title = {Climate change impacts in the {United} {States}, highlights: {U}.{S}. national climate assessment},
	isbn = {978-0-16-092403-3 0-16-092403-0},
	shorttitle = {Climate change impacts in the {United} {States}, highlights},
	url = {http://purl.fdlp.gov/GPO/gpo48681},
	language = {English},
	urldate = {2014-07-30},
	author = {{U.S. Global Change Research Program}},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, climate},
	file = {U.S. Global Change Research Program - 2014 - Climate change impacts in the United States, highl.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\JX4FUQZQ\\U.S. Global Change Research Program - 2014 - Climate change impacts in the United States, highl.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{benson_end_2014,
	title = {The {End} of {Sustainability}},
	volume = {27},
	issn = {0894-1920},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2014.901467},
	doi = {10.1080/08941920.2014.901467},
	abstract = {It is time to move past the concept of sustainability. The realities of the Anthropocene warrant this conclusion. They include unprecedented and irreversible rates of human-induced biodiversity loss, exponential increases in per-capita resource consumption, and global climate change. These factors combine to create an increasing likelihood of rapid, nonlinear, social and ecological regime changes. The recent failure of the Rio + 20 provides an opportunity to collectively reexamine—and ultimately move past—the concept of sustainability as an environmental goal. We must face the impossibility of defining—let alone pursuing—a goal of “sustainability” in a world characterized by such extreme complexity, radical uncertainty and lack of stationarity. After briefly examining sustainability's failure, we propose resilience thinking as one possible new orientation and point to the challenges associated with translating resilience theory into policy application.},
	number = {7},
	urldate = {2018-02-20},
	journal = {Society \& Natural Resources},
	author = {Benson, Melinda Harm and Craig, Robin Kundis},
	month = jul,
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {sustainability, collapse, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {777--782},
	file = {Benson and Craig - 2014 - The End of Sustainability.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\AXP852TF\\Benson and Craig - 2014 - The End of Sustainability.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@inproceedings{sverdrup_world_2014,
	title = {The {World} 5 model; {Peak} metals, minerals, energy, wealth, food and population; urgent policy considerations for a sustainable society},
	url = {http://www.peakoilindia.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/The-World-5-model.pdf},
	abstract = {In this paper we show that several metals, elements and energy resources are about to run into scarcity within the next decades, and most elements within some centuries. A new global systems model was assembled to analyse this scarcity as a continuation of the model used in the Limits-to-Growth World3 model. We show that this scarcity will lead to “peak wealth”, “peak population”, “peak costs”, “peak junk”, “peak problems” and possibly “peak civilization”, unless some urgent measures are systematically taken throughout the world. Scarcity implies that materials that underpin modern society will largely be unavailable for global mass production of goods. The material volumes that can be supplied from fossil reserves will be reduced with respect to today and all materials will go up sharply in price. The future resource supply is thus unsustainable as long as resource use continues as today. The creation of money from conversion of resources and work, as well as the current extensive borrowing from the future, cause concerns that peak oil and peak materials may lead to “peak wealth” and the end of the golden age we currently have for developed nations. Our policy recommendations are that overnments must take this issue seriously and immediately start preparing for legislations that can close material cycles, optimize energy use and minimize all types of irreversible material losses as soon as possible. Forceful programs promoting extensive recycling are needed as well as special care in closing loops and reducing irreversible losses. Research efforts in this field needs to be based on systems thinking and a concerted effort is needed globally},
	urldate = {2015-03-25},
	booktitle = {Equity within planetary boundaries},
	author = {Sverdrup, Harald Ulrik and Koca, Deniz and Ragnarsdóttir, Kristín Vala},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {collapse, models, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {265--265},
	file = {Sverdrup et al. - 2014 - The World 5 model\; Peak metals, minerals, energy, .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\NKJIUDJW\\Sverdrup et al. - 2014 - The World 5 model\; Peak metals, minerals, energy, .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{davies_oil_2014,
	title = {Oil and gas wells and their integrity: {Implications} for shale and unconventional resource exploitation},
	volume = {56},
	issn = {02648172},
	shorttitle = {Oil and gas wells and their integrity},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0264817214000609},
	doi = {10.1016/j.marpetgeo.2014.03.001},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2014-06-19},
	journal = {Marine and Petroleum Geology},
	author = {Davies, Richard J. and Almond, Sam and Ward, Robert S. and Jackson, Robert B. and Adams, Charlotte and Worrall, Fred and Herringshaw, Liam G. and Gluyas, Jon G. and Whitehead, Mark A.},
	month = sep,
	year = {2014},
	note = {00002},
	keywords = {energy, limits, collapse, gas, oil, climate, fossil},
	pages = {239--254},
	file = {Davies et al. - 2014 - Oil and gas wells and their integrity Implication.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\FBQPMQMW\\Davies et al. - 2014 - Oil and gas wells and their integrity Implication.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{cerny_globalization_2014,
	title = {Globalization and the resilience of neoliberalism},
	volume = {8},
	issn = {1946-0171},
	url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19460171.2014.944370},
	doi = {10.1080/19460171.2014.944370},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2015-02-24},
	journal = {Critical Policy Studies},
	author = {Cerny, Philip G.},
	month = jul,
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {collapse, lock-in, capitalism},
	pages = {359--362},
	file = {Cerny - 2014 - Globalization and the resilience of neoliberalism.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\T96WXQ4Q\\Cerny - 2014 - Globalization and the resilience of neoliberalism.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@misc{tverberg_why_2014-2,
	title = {Why a {Finite} {World} is a {Problem}},
	journal = {ourfiniteworld.com},
	author = {Tverberg, Gail E.},
	year = {2014},
	keywords = {collapse, limits-to-growth},
	file = {Tverberg - 2014 - Why a Finite World is a Problem.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\IQZZ2R3G\\Tverberg - 2014 - Why a Finite World is a Problem.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{raleigh_extreme_2014,
	title = {Extreme temperatures and violence},
	volume = {4},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v4/n2/full/nclimate2101.html},
	abstract = {Ascribing violence to extreme weather and climate change risks anchoring a modern form of environmental determinism.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2017-02-16},
	journal = {Nature Climate Change},
	author = {Raleigh, Clionadh and Linke, Andrew and O'loughlin, John},
	year = {2014},
	note = {00034},
	keywords = {violence-conflicts-wars, collapse, climate},
	pages = {76--77},
	file = {Raleigh et al. - 2014 - Extreme temperatures and violence.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\ZVSGJXDR\\Raleigh et al. - 2014 - Extreme temperatures and violence.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{noauthor_social_2013,
	title = {Social {Norms} and {Global} {Environmental} {Challenges}: {The} {Complex} {Interaction} of {Behaviors}, {Values}, and {Policy}},
	volume = {63},
	issn = {00063568, 15253244},
	shorttitle = {Social {Norms} and {Global} {Environmental} {Challenges}},
	url = {http://bioscience.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/doi/10.1525/bio.2013.63.3.5},
	doi = {10.1525/bio.2013.63.3.5},
	language = {en},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2016-12-26},
	journal = {BioScience},
	month = mar,
	year = {2013},
	keywords = {collapse, governance, politics},
	pages = {164--175},
	file = {2013 - Social Norms and Global Environmental Challenges .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\PDGPEF3X\\2013 - Social Norms and Global Environmental Challenges .pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{sielen_devolution_2013,
	title = {The {Devolution} of the {Seas} {The} {Consequences} of {Oceanic} {Destruction}},
	volume = {92},
	number = {6},
	journal = {Foreign Affairs},
	author = {Sielen, Alan B.},
	year = {2013},
	keywords = {biodiversity, boundaries, collapse, oceans},
	pages = {124--132},
	file = {Sielen - 2013 - The Devolution of the Seas The Consequences of Oce.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\6BD7PDJ2\\Sielen - 2013 - The Devolution of the Seas The Consequences of Oce.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{keinan_gloomy_2013,
	title = {Gloomy {Forecast} for the {Prophets} of {Apocalypse} and {Bright} {Forecast} for {Chemists}},
	volume = {52},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/anie.201209383/full},
	number = {10},
	urldate = {2014-10-28},
	journal = {Angewandte Chemie International Edition},
	author = {Keinan, Ehud},
	year = {2013},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {2667--2672},
	file = {Keinan - 2013 - Gloomy Forecast for the Prophets of Apocalypse and.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\MD9GZZVZ\\Keinan - 2013 - Gloomy Forecast for the Prophets of Apocalypse and.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{angus_myth_2013,
	title = {The {Myth} of ‘{Environmental} {Catastrophism}’},
	url = {http://monthlyreview.org/2013/09/01/myth-environmental-catastrophism/},
	abstract = {Ian Angus is editor of the online journal Climate \& Capitalism. He is co-author of Too Many People? Population, Immigration, and the Environmental Crisis (Haymarket, 2011), and editor of The Global Fight for Climate Justice (Fernwood, 2010). He would like to thank Simon Butler, Martin Empson, John Bellamy Foster, John Riddell, Javier Sethness, and Chris Williams for comments and suggestions. Between October 2010 and April 2012, over 250,000 people, including 133,000 children under five, died of hunger caused by drought in Somalia. Millions more survived only because they received food aid. Scientists at the UK Met Centre have shown that human-induced climate change made this catastrophe much worse than it would otherwise have been.1 This is only the beginning: the United Nations’ 2013 Human Development Report says that without coordinated global action to avert environmental disasters, especially global warming, the number of people living in extreme poverty could increase by up to},
	urldate = {2016-12-01},
	journal = {Monthly Review},
	author = {Angus, Ian},
	month = sep,
	year = {2013},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, philosophy, catastrophism},
	file = {Angus - 2013 - The Myth of ‘Environmental Catastrophism’.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\6J66TT9V\\Angus - 2013 - The Myth of ‘Environmental Catastrophism’.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{dickinson_misdiagnosis:_2013,
	title = {The {Misdiagnosis}: {Rethinking} “{Nature}-deficit {Disorder}”},
	volume = {7},
	issn = {1752-4032, 1752-4040},
	shorttitle = {The {Misdiagnosis}},
	url = {http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/17524032.2013.802704},
	doi = {10.1080/17524032.2013.802704},
	language = {en},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2016-04-18},
	journal = {Environmental Communication},
	author = {Dickinson, Elizabeth},
	month = sep,
	year = {2013},
	note = {00013},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse, grief},
	pages = {315--335},
	file = {Dickinson - 2013 - The Misdiagnosis Rethinking “Nature-deficit Disor.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\7E9RH2IN\\Dickinson - 2013 - The Misdiagnosis Rethinking “Nature-deficit Disor.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{foessel_comment_2012,
	title = {Comment échapper au catastrophisme?},
	abstract = {Interview},
	journal = {France Inter},
	author = {Foessel, Michael},
	month = oct,
	year = {2012},
	keywords = {collapse, philosophy, semantics},
	file = {Foessel - 2012 - Comment échapper au catastrophisme.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\6F8F62SG\\Foessel - 2012 - Comment échapper au catastrophisme.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{jakobsson_end_2012,
	title = {The end of cheap oil: {Bottom}-up economic and geologic modeling of aggregate oil production curves},
	volume = {41},
	issn = {03014215},
	shorttitle = {The end of cheap oil},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421511009712},
	doi = {10.1016/j.enpol.2011.11.073},
	abstract = {There is a lively debate between ‘concerned’ and ‘unconcerned’ analysts regarding the future availability and affordability of oil. We critically examine two interrelated and seemingly plausible arguments for an unconcerned view: (1) there is a growing amount of remaining reserves; (2) there is a large amount of oil with a relatively low average production cost. These statements are unconvincing on both theoretical and empirical grounds. Oil availability is about flows rather than stocks, and average cost is not relevant in the determination of price and output. We subsequently implement a bottom-up model of regional oil production with micro-foundations in both natural science and economics. An oil producer optimizes net present value under the constraints of reservoir dynamics, technological capacity and economic circumstances. Optimal production profiles for different reservoir drives and economic scenarios are derived. The field model is then combined with a discovery model of random sampling from a lognormal field size-frequency distribution. Regional discovery and production scenarios are generated. Our approach does not rely on the simple assumptions of top-down models such as the Hubbert curve – however it leads to the same qualitative result that production peaks when a substantial fraction of the recoverable resource remains in-ground.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2017-01-14},
	journal = {Energy Policy},
	author = {Jakobsson, Kristofer and Bentley, Roger and Söderbergh, Bengt and Aleklett, Kjell},
	month = feb,
	year = {2012},
	note = {00031},
	keywords = {energy, economics, limits, collapse, oil},
	pages = {860--870},
	file = {Jakobsson et al. - 2012 - The end of cheap oil Bottom-up economic and geolo.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\55RUTB58\\Jakobsson et al. - 2012 - The end of cheap oil Bottom-up economic and geolo.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  bibtex   

@article{common_c._2012,
	title = {C. {Dilworth}, {Too} {Smart} for {Our} {Own} {Good}: {The} {Ecological} {Predicament} of {Humankind}, {Cambridge} {University} {Press}, {Cambridge}, 2010, 530 pp.},
	volume = {81},
	issn = {09218009},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0921800912002315},
	doi = {10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.06.006},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2016-12-07},
	journal = {Ecological Economics},
	author = {Common, Michael},
	month = sep,
	year = {2012},
	note = {00000},
	keywords = {collapse, philosophy},
	pages = {178--179},
	file = {Common - 2012 - C. Dilworth, Too Smart for Our Own Good The Ecolo.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\JI2EJRV4\\Common - 2012 - C. Dilworth, Too Smart for Our Own Good The Ecolo.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@misc{noauthor_kubler-ross_2012,
	title = {Kübler-{Ross} model},
	copyright = {Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License},
	url = {http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=K%C3%BCbler-Ross_model&oldid=524593065},
	abstract = {The Kübler-Ross model, commonly referred to as the "five stages of grief", is a hypothesis introduced by Elisabeth Kübler-Ross[1] in her 1969 book On Death and Dying, which was inspired by her work with terminally ill patients. Kübler-Ross' hypothesis was that when a person (and/or their survivors) is faced with the reality of their impending death, he/she will experience a series of emotional "stages": denial; anger; bargaining; depression; and, acceptance (in no specific sequence). Motivated by the lack of curriculum in medical schools, at the time, addressing the subject of death and dying, Kübler-Ross started a project about death when she became an instructor at the University of Chicago's medical school. This evolved into a series of seminars; those interviews, along with her previous research, led to her book. Her work revolutionized how the U.S. medical field took care of the terminally ill. In the decades since her book's publication, Kübler-Ross' concept has become largely accepted by the general public; however, its validity has yet to be consistently supported by the majority of research studies that have examined it.},
	language = {en},
	urldate = {2012-11-29},
	journal = {Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia},
	month = nov,
	year = {2012},
	note = {Page Version ID: 524593065},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse},
	file = {2012 - Kübler-Ross model.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\E5EZZK9B\\2012 - Kübler-Ross model.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{lecomte_face_2011,
	address = {Paris},
	title = {Face à la catastrophe, l’homme ne panique pas},
	url = {http://www.liberation.fr/monde/01012325785-face-a-la-catastrophe-l-homme-ne-panique-pas},
	abstract = {Les médias admirent la dignité et le courage exceptionnels des Japonais face à la catastrophe, soulignant la différence avec ce que seraient les réactions...},
	urldate = {2013-04-04},
	journal = {Libération},
	author = {Lecomte, Jacques},
	month = mar,
	year = {2011},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology},
	file = {Lecomte - 2011 - Face à la catastrophe, l’homme ne panique pas.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\6FN25C2B\\Lecomte - 2011 - Face à la catastrophe, l’homme ne panique pas.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@incollection{weissbecker_threat_2011,
	address = {New York, NY},
	title = {The {Threat} of {Climate} {Change}: {Psychological} {Response}, {Adaptation}, and {Impacts}},
	isbn = {978-1-4419-9741-8 978-1-4419-9742-5},
	shorttitle = {The {Threat} of {Climate} {Change}},
	url = {http://link.springer.com/10.1007/978-1-4419-9742-5_2},
	abstract = {This chapter examines the existing social and health science literature addressing the
psychological impacts of the threat of climate change. The exercise reflects a con-
vergent environmental, social, and health psychology perspective, informed by those
interdisciplinary bodies of work relating to the social construction and representa-
tion of environmental threat; psychosocial environmental impact assessment and
monitoring; public and mental health; risk communication and perception; and dis-
aster preparedness and response. Attention is also paid to public understandings of
the phenomenon and threat of global climate change and popular culture discourse
and reflections about the psychological and mental health responses to and impacts
of ‘climate change’. The chapter indirectly addresses the unfolding physical envi-
ronmental impacts of climate change and corresponding psychological, social, and
societal consequences, but the principal focus is on public exposure and response to
the phenomenon of climate change through multimedia representations of this phe-
nomenon and limited direct experience. The larger context of this chapter and the
present coverage is the post–Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC]
focus on climate change adaptation and mitigation and the continuing neglect of
the psychological, social, and cultural in research and policy considerations and
initiatives addressing human and environmental quality, sustainability, and health.
The chapter concludes with a brief consideration of what psychology has and can
contribute in addressing psychological adaptation to the threat of climate change.},
	urldate = {2015-03-27},
	booktitle = {Climate {Change} and {Human} {Well}-{Being}},
	publisher = {Springer New York},
	author = {Reser, Joseph P. and Morrissey, Shirley A. and Ellul, Michelle},
	editor = {Weissbecker, Inka},
	year = {2011},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse, grief},
	pages = {19--42},
	file = {Reser et al. - 2011 - The Threat of Climate Change Psychological Respon.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\ZIDA63TT\\Reser et al. - 2011 - The Threat of Climate Change Psychological Respon.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{hassan_speed_2011,
	title = {The {Speed} of {Collapse}: {The} {Space}-{Time} {Dimensions} of {Capitalism}'s {First} {Great} {Crisis} of the 21st {Century}},
	volume = {37},
	issn = {0896-9205, 1569-1632},
	shorttitle = {The {Speed} of {Collapse}},
	url = {http://crs.sagepub.com/cgi/doi/10.1177/0896920510380946},
	doi = {10.1177/0896920510380946},
	abstract = {The essay analyses the global economic crisis from a critical perspective on the function of capital accumulation in space-time. It argues that the relative ‘speed of collapse’ is a historically new phenomenon that has been generated through the neoliberal and ICT driven mode of capitalism that has dominated since the 1970s. The ‘speed of collapse’, I argue, will be followed by a rapid financially led recovery that signals not that the system is self-stabilizing and durable, but that the system is out of control. This lack of control and the irreconcilable effects of space-time upon a constantly accumulating capital with fewer and fewer profitable outlets mean that a future system crisis is both inevitable and will carry greater destructive resonance.},
	language = {en},
	number = {4},
	urldate = {2017-04-23},
	journal = {Critical Sociology},
	author = {Hassan, R.},
	month = jul,
	year = {2011},
	note = {00017},
	keywords = {capitalism, collapse, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {385--402},
	file = {Hassan - 2011 - The Speed of Collapse The Space-Time Dimensions o.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\84K53X2Q\\Hassan - 2011 - The Speed of Collapse The Space-Time Dimensions o.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{gemenne_climate-induced_2011,
	title = {Climate-induced population displacements in a 4°{C}+ world},
	volume = {369},
	issn = {1364-503X, 1471-2962},
	url = {http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/369/1934/182},
	doi = {10.1098/rsta.2010.0287},
	abstract = {Massive population displacements are now regularly presented as one of the most dramatic possible consequences of climate change. Current forecasts and projections show that regions that would be affected by such population movements are low-lying islands, coastal and deltaic regions, as well as sub-Saharan Africa. Such estimates, however, are usually based on a 2°C temperature rise. In the event of a 4°C+ warming, not only is it likely that climate-induced population movements will be more considerable, but also their patterns could be significantly different, as people might react differently to temperature changes that would represent a threat to their very survival. This paper puts forward the hypothesis that a greater temperature change would affect not only the magnitude of the associated population movements, but also—and above all—the characteristics of these movements, and therefore the policy responses that can address them. The paper outlines the policy evolutions that climate-induced displacements in a 4°C+ world would require.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1934},
	urldate = {2015-04-17},
	journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences},
	author = {Gemenne, François},
	month = jan,
	year = {2011},
	keywords = {collapse, migrations, 4°C-and-beyond},
	pages = {182--195},
	file = {Gemenne - 2011 - Climate-induced population displacements in a 4°C+.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\WE95A2II\\Gemenne - 2011 - Climate-induced population displacements in a 4°C+.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{murphy_adjusting_2011,
	title = {Adjusting the economy to the new energy realities of the second half of the age of oil},
	volume = {223},
	issn = {03043800},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S030438001100370X},
	doi = {10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2011.06.022},
	abstract = {Our research indicates that, due to the depletion of conventional, and hence cheap, crude oil supplies (i.e. peak oil), increasing the supply of oil in the future would require exploiting lower quality resources (i.e. expensive), and thus will most likely occur only at high prices. This situation creates a system of feedbacks where economic growth, which requires more oil, would require high oil prices that will undermine that economic growth. We conclude that the economic growth of the past 40 years is unlikely to continue unless there is some remarkable change in how we manage our economy.},
	language = {en},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2017-04-11},
	journal = {Ecological Modelling},
	author = {Murphy, David J. and Hall, Charles A.S.},
	month = dec,
	year = {2011},
	keywords = {EROI, energy, limits, collapse},
	pages = {67--71},
	file = {Murphy and Hall - 2011 - Adjusting the economy to the new energy realities .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\VN66B4ZB\\Murphy and Hall - 2011 - Adjusting the economy to the new energy realities .pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{stern_role_2011,
	title = {The role of energy in economic growth},
	volume = {1219},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1749-6632.2010.05921.x/full},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2014-09-16},
	journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Stern, David I.},
	year = {2011},
	note = {00094},
	keywords = {energy, economics, limits, collapse, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {26--51},
	file = {Stern - 2011 - The role of energy in economic growth.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\4FSDPK5V\\Stern - 2011 - The role of energy in economic growth.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{kroeker_meta-analysis_2010,
	title = {Meta-analysis reveals negative yet variable effects of ocean acidification on marine organisms},
	volume = {13},
	url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01518.x/full},
	abstract = {Ocean acidification is a pervasive stressor that could affect many marine organisms and cause profound ecological shifts. A variety of biological responses to ocean acidification have been measured across a range of taxa, but this information exists as case studies and has not been synthesized into meaningful comparisons amongst response variables and functional groups. We used meta-analytic techniques to explore the biological responses to ocean acidification, and found negative effects on survival, calcification, growth and reproduction. However, there was significant variation in the sensitivity of marine organisms. Calcifying organisms generally exhibited larger negative responses than non-calcifying organisms across numerous response variables, with the exception of crustaceans, which calcify but were not negatively affected. Calcification responses varied significantly amongst organisms using different mineral forms of calcium carbonate. Organisms using one of the more soluble forms of calcium carbonate (high-magnesium calcite) can be more resilient to ocean acidification than less soluble forms (calcite and aragonite). Additionally, there was variation in the sensitivities of different developmental stages, but this variation was dependent on the taxonomic group. Our analyses suggest that the biological effects of ocean acidification are generally large and negative, but the variation in sensitivity amongst organisms has important implications for ecosystem responses.},
	number = {11},
	urldate = {2016-12-01},
	journal = {Ecology letters},
	author = {Kroeker, Kristy J. and Kordas, Rebecca L. and Crim, Ryan N. and Singh, Gerald G.},
	year = {2010},
	note = {00711},
	keywords = {boundaries, collapse, acidification, oceans},
	pages = {1419--1434},
	file = {Kroeker et al. - 2010 - Meta-analysis reveals negative yet variable effect.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\GZQSKCN9\\Kroeker et al. - 2010 - Meta-analysis reveals negative yet variable effect.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{gai_contagion_2010,
	title = {Contagion in financial networks},
	volume = {466},
	copyright = {© 2010 The Royal Society},
	url = {http://royalsocietypublishing.org/content/466/2120/2401},
	doi = {10.1098/rspa.2009.0410},
	abstract = {This paper develops an analytical model of contagion in financial networks with arbitrary structure. We explore how the probability and potential impact of contagion is influenced by aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks, changes in network structure and asset market liquidity. Our findings suggest that financial systems exhibit a robust-yet-fragile tendency: while the probability of contagion may be low, the effects can be extremely widespread when problems occur. And we suggest why the resilience of the system in withstanding fairly large shocks prior to 2007 should not have been taken as a reliable guide to its future robustness.},
	language = {en},
	number = {2120},
	urldate = {2014-07-07},
	journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences},
	author = {Gai, Prasanna and Kapadia, Sujit},
	month = aug,
	year = {2010},
	note = {This paper develops an analytical model of contagion in financial networks with arbitrary structure. We explore how the probability and potential impact of contagion is influenced by aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks, changes in network structure and asset market liquidity. Our findings suggest that financial systems exhibit a robust-yet-fragile tendency: while the probability of contagion may be low, the effects can be extremely widespread when problems occur. And we suggest why the resilience of the system in withstanding fairly large shocks prior to 2007 should not have been taken as a reliable guide to its future robustness.},
	keywords = {finance, collapse, systemic-risks},
	pages = {2401--2423},
	file = {Gai and Kapadia - 2010 - Contagion in financial networks.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\CWP3228T\\Gai and Kapadia - 2010 - Contagion in financial networks.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@book{reynolds_biophysical_2010,
	address = {Wellington [N.Z.]},
	title = {Biophysical {Limits}  and their {Policy} {Implications}: {The} {Nature} of  the {Problem}},
	isbn = {978-1-877347-40-5},
	shorttitle = {Climate change and migration},
	language = {eng},
	publisher = {Inst. of Policy Studies},
	editor = {Reynolds, Paul},
	year = {2010},
	note = {00019 
OCLC: 808200819},
	keywords = {governance, limits, boundaries, collapse},
	file = {Reynolds - 2010 - Biophysical Limits  and their Policy Implications.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\WW46WZ3D\\Reynolds - 2010 - Biophysical Limits  and their Policy Implications.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{latouche_degrowth_2010,
	title = {Degrowth},
	volume = {18},
	issn = {09596526},
	url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0959652610000417},
	doi = {10.1016/j.jclepro.2010.02.003},
	abstract = {The publication of the proceedings of the April 2008 international conference in Paris dedicated to degrowth constitutes, as of now, the richest and most complete collection analysing various aspects of the subject. Though the matter has been mooted for quite some time, the term Degrowth has only recently been used in economic and social debates, even if the origin of the ideas that it covers has a relatively old history. The expression does not appear as such in any dictionary of social sciences before 2006, where one finds however entries on related themes such as “Zero Growth”, “Sustainable Development” and of course “Steady State” [1]. While the translation of the French Décroissance by Degrowth has still to meet with unanimous approval, the project to which it answers already enjoys a relatively long and complex history and has not been without its impact on economic analysis and social policy.},
	number = {6},
	urldate = {2011-05-18},
	journal = {Journal of Cleaner Production},
	author = {Latouche, Serge},
	month = apr,
	year = {2010},
	keywords = {collapse, degrowth},
	pages = {519--522},
	file = {Latouche - 2010 - Degrowth.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\85E4DU2C\\Latouche - 2010 - Degrowth.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{spangenberg_growth_2010,
	title = {The growth discourse, growth policy and sustainable development: two thought experiments},
	volume = {18},
	issn = {0959-6526},
	shorttitle = {The growth discourse, growth policy and sustainable development},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0959652609002200},
	doi = {10.1016/j.jclepro.2009.07.007},
	abstract = {This paper addresses three aspects of ‘growth’: the discourse, the policy, and the impacts. The growth discourse claims that the central factor for social, economic, political and environmental progress is economic growth – it is assumed to create wealth, and provide the necessary means for social and environmental purposes. On the basis of the growth discourse, different growth policies can be derived, based on different economic and political ideologies.

In order to reveal the implications of de facto degrowth, two thought experiments are conducted, for physical and economic end-to-growth strategies. The latter is capable of meeting environmental objectives, but implies significant social tensions and hardships and calls for transition strategies consisting of carefully designed steps.},
	number = {6},
	urldate = {2013-10-02},
	journal = {Journal of Cleaner Production},
	author = {Spangenberg, Joachim H.},
	month = apr,
	year = {2010},
	keywords = {collapse, degrowth, limits-to-growth},
	pages = {561--566},
	file = {Spangenberg - 2010 - The growth discourse, growth policy and sustainabl.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\M3R5PAM3\\Spangenberg - 2010 - The growth discourse, growth policy and sustainabl.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{adamo_environmental_2010,
	title = {Environmental migration and cities in the context of global environmental change},
	volume = {2},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877343510000503},
	abstract = {There is a renewed interest in environmental migration and displacement that is fueled by concerns about the impacts of global environmental change on human populations. Regardless on-going debates about magnitudes and definitions, recent research on the topic shows a complex picture where environmental events are rarely the only drivers, several factors — among them the characteristics of the event and the degree of vulnerability — influence the outcome, and different types of mobility can be distinguished. Within this framework and in the context of global processes, research on the interactions among cities, environmental migration and GEC present two interrelated perspectives. On the one hand, cities are increasingly exposed to the impacts of GEC events, which can trigger environmental migration to other regions. On the other hand, they are the most common destinations of migration inflows, and environmental change outside of cities can exacerbate the influx of migrants to cities. The case of New Orleans and Hurricane Katrina dramatically illustrates these issues, highlighting the policy and governance dimensions.},
	number = {3},
	urldate = {2016-12-06},
	journal = {Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability},
	author = {Adamo, Susana B.},
	year = {2010},
	note = {00054},
	keywords = {cities, collapse, migrations},
	pages = {161--165},
	file = {Adamo - 2010 - Environmental migration and cities in the context .pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\I8QF6FK2\\Adamo - 2010 - Environmental migration and cities in the context .pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{ac_end_2010,
	title = {The {End} of {Growth}: {Systemic} {Risks} of {Globalization}},
	volume = {3},
	shorttitle = {The {End} of {Growth}},
	journal = {The New Presence},
	author = {Ač, Alexander},
	year = {2010},
	keywords = {collapse, limits-to-growth, systemic-risks},
	pages = {49--52},
	file = {Ac 2010 - End of Growth Systemic Risks of Globalization.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\R87PZKSZ\\Ac 2010 - End of Growth Systemic Risks of Globalization.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{von_braun_food_2008,
	title = {The food crisis isn't over},
	volume = {456},
	url = {http://www.nature.com/articles/456701a},
	abstract = {Although the credit crunch has lowered the price of food, a global recession now raises the hunger pains of 
the most vulnerable. The stage is set for the next international food crisis, says Joachim von Braun.},
	number = {7223},
	urldate = {2016-11-30},
	journal = {Nature},
	author = {Von Braun, Joachim},
	year = {2008},
	keywords = {collapse, agriculture-food-famine},
	pages = {701--701},
	file = {Von Braun - 2008 - The food crisis isn't over.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\CRNT6V6S\\Von Braun - 2008 - The food crisis isn't over.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{dobson_andrew_habitat_2006,
	title = {Habitat loss, trophic collapse, and the decline of ecosystem services},
	volume = {87},
	issn = {0012-9658},
	url = {https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1890/0012-9658%282006%2987%5B1915%3AHLTCAT%5D2.0.CO%3B2},
	doi = {10.1890/0012-9658(2006)87[1915:HLTCAT]2.0.CO;2},
	abstract = {The provisioning of sustaining goods and services that we obtain from natural ecosystems is a strong economic justification for the conservation of biological diversity. Understanding the relationship between these goods and services and changes in the size, arrangement, and quality of natural habitats is a fundamental challenge of natural resource management. In this paper, we describe a new approach to assessing the implications of habitat loss for loss of ecosystem services by examining how the provision of different ecosystem services is dominated by species from different trophic levels. We then develop a mathematical model that illustrates how declines in habitat quality and quantity lead to sequential losses of trophic diversity. The model suggests that declines in the provisioning of services will initially be slow but will then accelerate as species from higher trophic levels are lost at faster rates. Comparison of these patterns with empirical examples of ecosystem collapse (and assembly) suggest similar patterns occur in natural systems impacted by anthropogenic change. In general, ecosystem goods and services provided by species in the upper trophic levels will be lost before those provided by species lower in the food chain. The decrease in terrestrial food chain length predicted by the model parallels that observed in the oceans following overexploitation. The large area requirements of higher trophic levels make them as susceptible to extinction as they are in marine systems where they are systematically exploited. Whereas the traditional species?area curve suggests that 50\% of species are driven extinct by an order?of?magnitude decline in habitat abundance, this magnitude of loss may represent the loss of an entire trophic level and all the ecosystem services performed by the species on this trophic level.},
	number = {8},
	urldate = {2018-03-17},
	journal = {Ecology},
	author = {{Dobson Andrew} and {Lodge David} and {Alder Jackie} and {Cumming Graeme S.} and {Keymer Juan} and {McGlade Jacquie} and {Mooney Hal} and {Rusak James A.} and {Sala Osvaldo} and {Wolters Volkmar} and {Wall Diana} and {Winfree Rachel} and {Xenopoulos Marguerite A.}},
	month = aug,
	year = {2006},
	keywords = {biodiversity, boundaries, collapse},
	pages = {1915--1924},
	file = {Dobson Andrew et al. - 2006 - Habitat loss, trophic collapse, and the decline of.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\GJKX3Y7H\\Dobson Andrew et al. - 2006 - Habitat loss, trophic collapse, and the decline of.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{piketty_evolution_2006,
	title = {The {Evolution} of {Top} {Incomes}: {A} {Historical} and {International} {Perspective}},
	volume = {96},
	shorttitle = {The {Evolution} of {Top} {Incomes}},
	url = {https://moodle.swarthmore.edu/pluginfile.php/35816/mod_resource/content/0/pikettysaez_Evolution_of_Top_INcomes.pdf},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2014-12-11},
	journal = {The American Economic Review},
	author = {Piketty, Thomas and Saez, Emmanuel},
	year = {2006},
	note = {00543},
	keywords = {inequality, collapse},
	pages = {200--205},
	file = {Piketty and Saez - 2006 - The Evolution of Top Incomes A Historical and Int.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\5KWWHMKV\\Piketty and Saez - 2006 - The Evolution of Top Incomes A Historical and Int.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{wells_nature_2006,
	title = {Nature and the {Life} {Course}: {Pathways} from {Childhood} {Nature} {Experiences} to {Adult} {Environmentalism}},
	volume = {16},
	issn = {1546-2250},
	shorttitle = {Nature and the {Life} {Course}},
	url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7721/chilyoutenvi.16.1.0001},
	abstract = {This paper examines connections between childhood involvement with the natural environment and adult environmentalism from a life course perspective. Approximately 2,000 adults age 18–90 living in urban areas throughout the United States were interviewed with respect to their childhood nature experiences and their current, adult attitudes and behaviors relating to the environment. Model testing and cross-validation procedures using structural equation modeling suggest that childhood participation with nature may set an individual on a trajectory toward adult environmentalism. Specifically, childhood participation in “wild” nature such as hiking or playing in the woods, camping, and hunting or fishing, as well as participation with “domesticated” nature such as picking flowers or produce, planting trees or seeds, and caring for plants in childhood have a positive relationship to adult environmental attitudes. “Wild nature” participation is also positively associated with environmental behaviors while “domesticated nature” experiences are marginally related to environmental behaviors.},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2017-11-29},
	journal = {Children, Youth and Environments},
	author = {Wells, Nancy M. and Lekies, Kristi S.},
	year = {2006},
	keywords = {collapse, biophilic},
	pages = {1--24},
	file = {Wells and Lekies - 2006 - Nature and the Life Course Pathways from Childhoo.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\3HC4CILA\\Wells and Lekies - 2006 - Nature and the Life Course Pathways from Childhoo.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@incollection{dal_cin_narrative_2006,
	title = {Narrative {Persuasion} and {Overcoming} {Resistance}},
	url = {http://www.communicationcache.com/uploads/1/0/8/8/10887248/resistance_and_persuasion.pdf#page=188},
	urldate = {2015-01-09},
	booktitle = {Resistance and {Persuasion}},
	publisher = {Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Inc.},
	author = {Dal Cin, Sonya and Zanna, Mark P. and Fong, Geoffrey T.},
	year = {2006},
	note = {00173},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse, denial, sociology, storytelling},
	pages = {175},
	file = {Dal Cin et al. - 2006 - Narrative Persuasion and Overcoming Resistance.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\J6XMXGAX\\Dal Cin et al. - 2006 - Narrative Persuasion and Overcoming Resistance.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{whaples_collapse?_2006,
	title = {Collapse? {The}" {Dismal}" {Science} {Doesn}'t {Think} {So}: {Economists}' {Views} of the {Future}},
	volume = {11},
	shorttitle = {Collapse?},
	url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/24562228},
	abstract = {In the best-seller Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005), Jared Diamond confronts the reader with stories of the collapse and even extinction of past societies. He claims ultimately to be a “cautious optimist” (521) about the  future,  but  he  still  sees  a  strong  likelihood  that  we  are  headed  globally  into  decline. Are we likely to live out such a scenario? After briefly reviewing the history of American  economists’  thinking  about  the  future,  I  confront  the  pessimism  of  the  prophets of decline with the findings of a survey of economists about what the future will  bring  and  the  most  important  economic  challenges  looming  before  us.  As  this  essay’s title suggests, economists do not credit neo-Malthusian predictions of decline. 
The economists are instead very  optimistic about the future. Their worries gravitate more  toward  problems  with  governmental  programs  rather  than  toward  problems  with the environment and depletion of resources.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2017-04-23},
	journal = {The Independent Review},
	author = {Whaples, Robert},
	year = {2006},
	note = {00003},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {275--281},
	file = {Whaples - 2006 - Collapse The Dismal Science Doesn't Think So E.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\ZZ3TQ6D9\\Whaples - 2006 - Collapse The Dismal Science Doesn't Think So E.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@book{hirsch_social_2005,
	title = {Social limits to growth},
	url = {https://books.google.be/books?hl=en&lr=&id=PV8NKgoLr2QC&oi=fnd&pg=PT7&dq=+%09Social+Limits+to+Growth&ots=UHn0RxnBBb&sig=PQI_yJeLRvPgCAClFwGSnlK5FNM},
	urldate = {2016-11-28},
	publisher = {Routledge},
	author = {Hirsch, Fred},
	year = {2005},
	keywords = {collapse, sociology, limits-to-growth},
	file = {Hirsch - 2005 - Social limits to growth.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\KSPP362Z\\Hirsch - 2005 - Social limits to growth.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{diamond_ends_2005,
	chapter = {Opinion},
	title = {The {Ends} of the {World} as {We} {Know} {Them}},
	issn = {0362-4331},
	url = {http://www.nytimes.com/2005/01/01/opinion/01diamond.html},
	abstract = {The United States is seemingly at the height of its power, but how long will our ascendancy last?},
	urldate = {2014-09-09},
	journal = {The New York Times},
	author = {Diamond, Jared},
	month = jan,
	year = {2005},
	note = {00021},
	keywords = {collapse, archaeology-history},
	file = {Diamond - 2005 - The Ends of the World as We Know Them.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\4MWMRZ8K\\Diamond - 2005 - The Ends of the World as We Know Them.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{albrecht_solastalgia._2005,
	title = {'{Solastalgia}'. {A} {New} {Concept} in {Health} and {Identity}},
	number = {3},
	journal = {PAN: Philosophy Activism Nature},
	author = {Albrecht, Glenn},
	year = {2005},
	keywords = {psychology, collapse, grief},
	pages = {41},
	file = {Albrecht - 2005 - 'Solastalgia'. A New Concept in Health and Identit.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\7QACHG7U\\Albrecht - 2005 - 'Solastalgia'. A New Concept in Health and Identit.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{batty_modelling_2005,
	title = {Modelling and prediction in a complex world},
	volume = {37},
	issn = {0016-3287},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328704001788},
	doi = {10.1016/j.futures.2004.11.003},
	abstract = {A complex system is an entity, coherent in some recognisable way but whose elements, interactions, and dynamics generate structures and admit surprise and novelty that cannot be defined a priori. Complex systems are more than the sum of their parts, and a consequence of this is that any model of their structure is necessarily incomplete and partial. Models thus represent simplifications in which salient parts and processes are simulated, and given this definition, many models will exist of any particular system. In this chapter, we explore the impact of this complexity on validating models of such systems. We begin with definitions and then identify key issues as being concerned with the characterisation of system equilibrium, system environment, and the way systems and their elements extend and scale. As our perspective on these issues changes, then so do our models with implications for their testing and validation. We argue that changes in the meaning of validity, posed by the use to which such models are to be put, are central to this debate, drawing these ideas together as conclusions about the limits posed to prediction in complex systems.},
	number = {7},
	urldate = {2014-02-12},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Batty, Michael and Torrens, Paul M.},
	month = sep,
	year = {2005},
	keywords = {collapse, models},
	pages = {745--766},
	file = {Batty and Torrens - 2005 - Modelling and prediction in a complex world.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\UB4NNSSJ\\Batty and Torrens - 2005 - Modelling and prediction in a complex world.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@book{rotberg_state_2003,
	title = {State {Failure} and {State} {Weakness} in a {Time} of {Terror}},
	url = {http://belfercenter.hks.harvard.edu/publication/1863/state_failure_and_state_weakness_in_a_time_of_terror.html},
	abstract = {The threat of terror, which flares in Africa and Indonesia, has given the problem of failed states an unprecedented immediacy and importance. In the past, failure had a primarily humanitarian dimension, with fewer implications for peace and security. Now nation-states that fail, or may do so, pose dangers to themselves, to their neighbors, and to people around the globe: preventing their failure, and reviving those that do fail, has become a strategic as well as a moral imperative. This book develops an innovative theory of state failure that classifies and categorizes states along a continuum from weak to failed to collapsed. By understanding the mechanisms and identifying the tell-tale indicators of state failure, it is possible to develop strategies to arrest the fatal slide from weakness to collapse. This state failure paradigm is illustrated through detailed case studies of states that have failed and collapsed (the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Sierra Leone, the Sudan, Somalia), states that are dangerously weak (Colombia, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Tajikistan), and states that are weak but safe (Fiji, Haiti, Lebanon).},
	urldate = {2016-02-06},
	publisher = {Brookings Institution Press},
	author = {Rotberg, Robert and Dadmehr, Nasrin and Jenne, Erin},
	year = {2003},
	note = {00738},
	keywords = {collapse, failed-states},
	file = {Rotberg et al. - 2003 - State Failure and State Weakness in a Time of Terr.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\55SS45CR\\Rotberg et al. - 2003 - State Failure and State Weakness in a Time of Terr.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{krautkraemer_nonrenewable_1998,
	title = {Nonrenewable resource scarcity},
	volume = {36},
	url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2565047},
	number = {4},
	urldate = {2017-01-14},
	journal = {Journal of Economic literature},
	author = {Krautkraemer, Jeffrey A.},
	year = {1998},
	note = {00532},
	keywords = {energy, minerals, limits, collapse, gas, metals, coal, oil, fossil, materials},
	pages = {2065--2107},
	file = {Krautkraemer - 1998 - Nonrenewable resource scarcity.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\G624ZV69\\Krautkraemer - 1998 - Nonrenewable resource scarcity.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{kaufmann_biophysical_1992,
	title = {A biophysical analysis of the energy/real {GDP} ratio: implications for substitution and technical change},
	volume = {6},
	shorttitle = {A biophysical analysis of the energy/real {GDP} ratio},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/092180099290037S},
	abstract = {This paper quantifies the factors that caused the energy/real GDP ratio to change during the post-war period in France, the Federal Republic of Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Econometric results indicate that changes in the types of fuel used, changes in the energy consumed by the household sector, changes in the types of goods and services produced, and changes in energy prices account for most of the variation in this ratio. Price elasticities estimated from these results are lower than those estimated by neoclassical economists and indicate that the system boundaries used by neoclassical economists overestimate the amount of energy saved by substitution. Analysis of the error term from the regression results indicates that energy-saving technical change has had little effect on the amount of energy used to support economic activity.},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2017-04-18},
	journal = {Ecological Economics},
	author = {Kaufmann, Robert K.},
	year = {1992},
	note = {00160},
	keywords = {collapse, decoupling},
	pages = {35--56},
	file = {Kaufmann - 1992 - A biophysical analysis of the energyreal GDP rati.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\3CNGE3FW\\Kaufmann - 1992 - A biophysical analysis of the energyreal GDP rati.pdf:application/pdf}
}

@article{
 title = {The loss of substrate from a vial during freeze‐drying using escherichia coli as a trace organism},
 type = {article},
 year = {1991},
 identifiers = {[object Object]},
 keywords = {ablation,collapse,freeze‐drying,lyophilisation,particle entrainment,vapour flow},
 pages = {511-518},
 volume = {52},
 id = {70c04704-df60-3e6e-8d9f-c4525a81e264},
 created = {2020-11-18T22:05:06.243Z},
 accessed = {2020-11-18},
 file_attached = {false},
 profile_id = {f7328406-3e7e-3e37-9ea0-01d7cb781b09},
 group_id = {3455ce01-3ebd-33b1-bddf-c7304973b8e6},
 last_modified = {2021-01-15T23:29:15.770Z},
 read = {false},
 starred = {false},
 authored = {false},
 confirmed = {false},
 hidden = {false},
 private_publication = {false},
 abstract = {The potential for ablation during product freeze‐drying has been assessed using a defined area surrounding the processed vial. This technique has enabled media formulations to be compared. The paper suggests ways in which the mini‐chambers may be used to investigate the extent of ablation and methods for reducing contamination of a freeze‐drier by ablation. Copyright © 1991 Society of Chemical Industry},
 bibtype = {article},
 author = {Adams, Gerald D.J.},
 journal = {Journal of Chemical Technology & Biotechnology},
 number = {4}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{dimsdale_coping_1974,
	title = {The {Coping} {Behavior} of {Nazi} {Concentration} {Camp} {Survivors}},
	volume = {131},
	issn = {0002-953X},
	url = {https://ajp.psychiatryonline.org/doi/abs/10.1176/ajp.131.7.792},
	doi = {10.1176/ajp.131.7.792},
	abstract = {This study of coping strategies reports on interviews with 19 survivors of Nazi concentration camps. The subjects, relatively healthy survivors who were not severely psychiatrically disabled, were interviewed in Jerusalem and the San Francisco Bay area. The author presents a classification of coping strategies in extreme stress situations and discusses the long-term effectiveness of certain of these strategies.},
	number = {7},
	urldate = {2018-03-18},
	journal = {American Journal of Psychiatry},
	author = {Dimsdale, Joel E.},
	month = jul,
	year = {1974},
	keywords = {collapse},
	pages = {792--797},
	file = {Dimsdale - 1974 - The Coping Behavior of Nazi Concentration Camp Sur.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\S87RYYU3\\Dimsdale - 1974 - The Coping Behavior of Nazi Concentration Camp Sur.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  bibtex   

@article{freeman_sussex_1973,
	title = {Sussex 1. {Malthus} with a computer},
	volume = {5},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0016328773900530},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2016-12-08},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Freeman, Christopher},
	year = {1973},
	note = {00055},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {5--13},
	file = {Freeman - 1973 - Sussex 1. Malthus with a computer.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\BX8DA748\\Freeman - 1973 - Sussex 1. Malthus with a computer.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  doi  abstract   bibtex   

@article{page_sussex_1973-2,
	title = {Sussex 11. {Population} forecasting},
	volume = {5},
	issn = {0016-3287},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0016328773900827},
	doi = {10.1016/0016-3287(73)90082-7},
	abstract = {Forecasts of future trends in population are as central to the contemporary pessimism about the future as they were to that of certain classical economists at the beginning of the 19th century. Here earlier forecasts are examined to see how the methodology has changed and if past performance justifies the placing of much confidence in contemporary forecasts. The emphasis is upon British and American experience and upon total population sizes (rather than age or sex breakdowns). A concluding section raises the question of today's world population situation and the context of The Limits to Growth population considerations.},
	number = {2},
	urldate = {2016-12-08},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Page, William},
	month = apr,
	year = {1973},
	note = {00010},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {179--194},
	file = {Page - 1973 - Sussex 11. Population forecasting.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\SJDZMVN7\\Page - 1973 - Sussex 11. Population forecasting.pdf:application/pdf}
}

Paper  abstract   bibtex   

@article{page_sussex_1973-1,
	title = {Sussex 4. {The} population sub-system},
	volume = {5},
	url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0016328773900566},
	abstract = {The overall behaviour of the World 3 model is not highly sensitive to the behaviour of the population sub-system. This is divided into two parts, fertility and mortality, and each are examined here as being important in their own right, although the fact that many of the relationships could be subject to policy decisions is noted as a major problem in building the model.},
	number = {1},
	urldate = {2016-12-08},
	journal = {Futures},
	author = {Page, William},
	year = {1973},
	note = {00004},
	keywords = {collapse, contrarian},
	pages = {43--55},
	file = {Page - 1973 - Sussex 4. The population sub-system.pdf:C\:\\Users\\rsrs\\Documents\\Zotero Database\\storage\\3N9XWETV\\Page - 1973 - Sussex 4. The population sub-system.pdf:application/pdf}
}